KEYNOTE TALKS


Keynote talk I Saturday 08.8.2026 09:05 - 09:55 Room: 202
A bridge between statistical approximations, optimal transportation, and information theory
Speaker: E. Ronchetti  Co-authors: D. La Vecchia, A. Ilievski Chair: Erricos Kontoghiorghes
Keynote talk II Saturday 08.8.2026 15:45 - 16:35 Room: 202
Modeling and forecasting financial tail risk: Methods and applications
Speaker: C.W.-S. Chen   Chair: Ana Colubi
Keynote talk III Sunday 09.8.2026 15:00 - 15:45 Room: 202
Robust and efficient copulas: From moment redundancy to Neyman orthogonality
Speaker: A. Prokhorov   Chair: Masayuki Hirukawa
Keynote talk IV Monday 10.8.2026 13:35 - 14:25 Room: 202
Prediction for several infinitely divisible distribution models
Speaker: F. Komaki   Chair: Takeshi Emura


PARALLEL SESSIONS


Parallel session B: EcoSta2026 Saturday 08.8.2026 10:25 - 12:05

Session EI004 Room: 202
Recent advances in time series analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Kin Wai Chan Organizer: Kin Wai Chan
  E1275:  S.H.I. Leung, C.Y. Yau, Y. Li
  Forecasting under structural breaks in nonparametric time series regression
  E1271:  T.T. Ma, K.W. Chan
  High dimensional changing region detection through distributional test
  E1315:  K.W. Chan, Y.H. Ngan
  Difference-based inference and estimation for long-run variance function
  E1335:  X. Shi
  Changepoint detection as model selection: A general framework and L0 approximation
Session EO159 Room: B101
Evaluating and choosing policies Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Liyang Sun Organizer: Liyang Sun
  E1548:  S. Kwon, T. Grossboelting, M. Pollmann
  Segment fixed effects in spatial regression discontinuity designs
  E1650:  M. Sawada, T. Ishihara, K. Yata
  Optimal estimation for regression discontinuity design with binary outcomes
  E1689:  L. Sun, K. Chen, L. Lei, T. Sudijono, T. Xie
  Compound selection decisions: An almost SURE approach
  E1832:  T. Kaji
  A LATE-targeting experimental design under multivalued treatment
Session EO091 Room: B102
Innovations in event history data: Privacy enhancement and causal discovery Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Yi Xiong Organizer: Yi Xiong
  E1559:  F. Farokhi
  Privacy-aware data analytics via deconvolution
  E1610:  B. Johnson
  Optimal adaptive treatment strategies to maximize quality-adjusted lifetime
  E1672:  L.-P. Chen
  Accelerated failure time models with error-prone response and nonlinear covariates
  E1671:  S. Liu
  A longitudinal item response theory approach to create an integrative of child neurodevelopment
Session EO282 Room: B103
Applied macroeconomics Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Michael Owyang Organizer: Michael Owyang
  E1273:  L. Jackson Young, M. Owyang
  Analyzing regional variation in the response to policy uncertainty shocks
  E1317:  D. Soques, M. Faria-e-Castro, N. Francis, M. Owyang
  Model-average impulse responses for nonlinear VARMAs
  E1319:  O. Wilkinson
  Screening and monitoring in consumer credit: Evidence from credit unions
  E1332:  M. Owyang, J. Bennett, B. Hathhorn
  Re-evaluating inflation forecasts
Session EO145 Room: B104
Factor models in econometrics/financial econometrics Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Sung Hoon Choi Organizer: Sung Hoon Choi
  E1286:  S.H. Choi, D. Kim
  Low-rank structured nonparametric prediction of instantaneous volatility
  E1372:  H. Jeong, J. Lee
  Connected trade flows via trade costs: A spatial autoregressive framework
  E1701:  J. Choi, M. Yuan
  Matrix completion and causal inference
  E1474:  Z. Liu, X. Ren, L. Shu
  AI-driven residual learning with robust factor models for stock return prediction
Session EO211 Room: 101
Patterns in motion: Time series, change points, and networks (virtual) Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Abolfazl Safikhani Organizer: Abolfazl Safikhani
  E1705:  C.M. Madrid Padilla, X. Luo, H. Xu, O.H. Madrid Padilla
  Online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson processes time series
  E1803:  Y. Tian, A. Safikhani
  Multiple change point detection in time series with non-stationary dynamics
  E2070:  M. Jauch, Y. Wang, J. Loyal, A. Thomas
  A generalized Bayesian approach to multiple changepoint analysis
  E2077:  H. Yu
  Nonparametric inference under Gaussian subordinated process
Session EO054 Room: 102
Statistical inference and applications for network data Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Youngseok Song Organizer: Youngseok Song
  E1293:  X. Jin
  A sequential two-stage test for large random graphs of unequal size
  E1534:  J. Kim
  Multivariate Hawkes process modeling of dynamic functional connectivity network in MEG for epilepsy
  E1570:  L. Wang
  Network autoregression for binary responses
  E1763:  H. Zhang, Y. Chen, Y. Chen
  Configuration recovery for distance-based latent space models
Session EO160 Room: 103
Recent advances in text pattern recognition and sequence analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Yaofang Hu Organizer: Xuwen Zhu
  E1600:  X. Zhu, Y. Zhang, H. Tong, V. Melnykov
  Model-based clustering of music pieces
  E1214:  J. Leinbach, S. Sarkar, X. Zhu
  A state-restricted hidden Markov model for authorship attribution of the deutero-Pauline and pastoral epistles
  E1236:  Y. Hu, Y. Cheng, Y. Xia, X. Wang
  A variational Bayesian approach for multimodal multi-instance classification
  E1586:  Y. Zhang, S. Sarkar, Y. Chen, X. Zhu
  On regime changes in text data using hidden Markov model of contaminated vMF distribution
Session EO107 Room: 105
Statistical methods for complex and structured data Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Jingru Mu Organizer: Jingru Mu
  E1391:  B. Liu, M. Ananda, S. Weerahandi
  Least-squares estimator-based inference for survival and reliability data
  E1612:  F. Dai, S. Dutta
  Bayesian inference for geometrically anisotropic spatial random fields on regular lattices
  E1738:  J. Ren, K. Fan, C. Wu, S. Ma
  Robust sparse Bayesian semiparametric modeling for longitudinal genetic studies
  E1255:  S. Shang, J. Anderson, J. Du
  Nonlinearity of spending effects on public education: Evidence of spatial dependence
Session EO116 Room: 106
Graphical and causal learning for complex stochastic processes Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Kuang-Yao Lee Organizer: Kuang-Yao Lee
  E2049:  S. Ding, Z. Jin
  Robust causal effect estimation in high dimensional survival analysis via nonparametric learning
  E1960:  H.-W. Teng, N.H. Chan, P.-Y. Hsu
  Mapping risk contagion through graphical models and early warning signals in Taiwan's stock market
  E1927:  K.-Y. Lee, J. Sun, T. Cai, L. Li
  Graphical modeling of multivariate Cox process
  E1972:  C.-F. Tang, S.H. Chiou, W. Zhu
  Joint accelerated rate and hazard model for recurrent events and informative terminals
Session EO050 Room: 107
Statistical learning for complex data Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Wenbo Wu Organizer: Wenbo Wu, Binyan Jiang
  E1225:  R. Widjaja
  A partial envelope approach for modeling multivariate spatial-temporal data
  E1532:  C. Ke
  Sufficient dimension reduction via explained kernel embedding variation
  E1917:  S. Fang
  Deep ranking with heterogeneous effects
  E1920:  Y. Luo, R. Han, G. Shen, Y. Ge
  Learning guarantee of reward modeling using deep neural networks
Session EO110 Room: 201
Recent advances in industrial and applied statistics Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Chang-Yun Lin Organizer: Chang-Yun Lin
  E1245:  M.-C. Chang
  Orthogonalized moment aberration for multi-stratum factorial designs
  E1263:  S. Sinha
  Robust estimation of small area poverty measures
  E1553:  X. Xu
  Bridging minimax design and robust active learning in nonlinear regression
  E1852:  T.-J. Shen
  Reliable Shannon entropy estimation from incomplete species inventories
Session EO095 Room: 203
Recent advances and development in statistical modeling Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Li-Hsien Sun Organizer: Li-Hsien Sun
  E1224:  I.-T. Yu, R. Loreto
  Bayesian modeling of degradation data with dependent increments using the t copula
  E1478:  L.-H. Sun, C.-Y. Chiu
  Detecting structural shifts in interval-based time series
  E1489:  J. Lee
  An extension of the dynamic seasonal grey model with covariates
  E1758:  T. Koike, C.W.-S. Chen
  Outlier-sensitive forecast evaluation of value-at-risk and expected shortfall
Session EO113 Room: 204
Recent advances in multivariate dependence modelling Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Pavel Krupskiy Organizer: Pavel Krupskiy
  E1441:  B. Remillard, P. Krupskiy, B. Nasri
  Proxy methods for factor copula-based clustered data with random covariates
  E1446:  B. Ghanbari, P. Krupskiy, L. Tafakori, Y. Wang
  Computationally tractable factor copula models
  E1453:  G. Qian, Y. Chen
  Spatial clustering of big time series by Gibbs sampling and empirical BIC with an application to Australian rainfall
  E1466:  B. Nasri, B. Remillard
  Tests of independence and randomness for arbitrary data using copula-based covariances
Session EO154 Room: 205
Recent developments on complex data Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Jingnan Zhang Organizer: Jingnan Zhang
  E1699:  Y. Yuan
  Diffusion structure inference under heterogeneous network cascade
  E1483:  B. Cai
  Generalized tensor completion with non-random missingness
  E1394:  J. Zhang
  Linear regression with probabilistic networks for network-linked data
  E1692:  Y. Chen
  Constrained contextual bandits under systemic fluctuations
Session EO238 Room: 208
Modern statistics for timing, trends, and transitions in public health data Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Maricela Cruz Organizer: Maricela Cruz
  E1253:  K. Conniff, D. Gillen
  An investigation of the choice of time scale for studies with time-to-dementia-related outcomes
  E1276:  S. Turner
  Interrupted time series and seasonality: An investigation of the ups and downs
  E1213:  M. Cruz, A. Holbrook
  A doubly hierarchical changepoint model for multi-unit interrupted time series
  E1280:  J. Hamid
  The growth curve model and multivariate bilinear regression models useful in the analysis of longitudinal data
Session EO083 Room: 209
Survival analysis, biostatistics and longitudinal data analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Sheng-Yueh Chang Organizer: Kuo-Jung Lee
  E1488:  Y.-M. Chang
  A Bayesian adaptive randomization design for many-to-one comparison in multi-arm clinical trials
  E1651:  S.-Y. Chang, K.-J. Lee
  Flexible spatial modeling with variable selection: A higher-order nonparametric spatial autoregressive framework
  E1741:  P. Lu
  A flexible joint modeling approach for recurrent events, death, and cure fraction with application to breast cancer data
  E1753:  C.-Y. Tsai, Y.-J. Cheng
  Generalized method of moments for semiparametric transformation models of recurrent events with informative censoring
Session EC256 Room: 104
Functional data analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Abhimanyu Gupta Organizer: EcoSta
  E1162:  G. Adelfio
  Functional marked ETAS models for the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake sequence
  E1185:  T. Sottinen, P. Ilmonen, N. Shafik, G. Van Bever, L. Viitasaari
  On optimal prediction of missing functional data with memory
  E1943:  X. Li
  Graph-guided group detection and sparse estimation for functional regression with correlated functional covariates
  E2009:  M. Al Alawi
  Functional modeling of sparse longitudinal trajectories with varying observation weights
Parallel session C: EcoSta2026 Saturday 08.8.2026 13:35 - 15:15

Session EO150 Room: B101
Optimal transport in econometrics Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Toru Kitagawa Organizer: Toru Kitagawa
  E1525:  A. Jacquet, A. Galichon, G. Pouliot
  Statistical deconvolution via entropic iterative proportional fitting
  E1602:  X. Dai, D. Chen, Y. Qian
  Dynamic decision-making under model misspecification: A stochastic stability approach
  E1596:  T. Kitagawa, Y. Hazard
  Who with whom: Learning optimal matching policies
  E1712:  K. Sunada, K. Izumi
  Optimal treatment assignment rules under capacity constraints
Session EO088 Room: B102
Quantitative methods in economics and finance: Theory and practice Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Hsin-Chieh Wong Organizer: Hsin-Chieh Wong
  E1406:  W.-J. Tsay
  A country of two theories: Coexistence of collusion and efficiency hypotheses
  E1490:  C. Chao, M.-H. Hsieh, M.-E. Wu
  Distributional reinforcement learning for tail risk control in weekly options sell-side strategies
  E1429:  S.-F. Luo, Y.-Y. Tzeng
  Simulation-based american option pricing: Primal-dual approaches and machine learning
  E1420:  H.-C. Wong
  Model averaging predictor in an infinite-order autoregressive process
Session EO118 Room: B103
Applied microeconometrics for social and economic outcomes Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Stanley Iat-Meng Ko Organizer: Stanley Iat-Meng Ko
  E1424:  C.-K. Ao, N. Sunder
  Toxic tradeoffs: Ambient air quality and mental health in Africa
  E1561:  Y. Li, M. Wakabayashi, Y. Bai
  Effects of gender imbalance within and across generations: Men's marrying up and family dynamics
  E1875:  Y.-J. Hung
  Assessing the relationship between immigration and crime in Taiwan
  E1625:  S.I.-M. Ko
  Log-OLS and mean elasticities: A specification test
Session EO153 Room: B104
Financial econometrics and financial big data Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Yi Ding Organizer: Yi Ding
  E1295:  Z. Zhang, T.G. Andersen, V. Todorov, Y. Tan
  Intraday correlation patterns
  E1345:  W. Cui
  A general score-difference framework for independence testing
  E1384:  S. Shi, Y. Ding
  A fine lens on common trading flows
  E1471:  C. Zhang, J. Yu, M. Bibinger
  Modeling and forecasting realized volatility with multivariate fractional Brownian motion
Session EO190 Room: 101
Recent advances in time series analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Giovanni Motta Organizer: Giovanni Motta
  E1260:  E. Hill
  Nonstationarity and cyclicality extended Whittle estimation
  E1564:  G. Motta, Q. Wang
  Semi-parametric estimation of non-stationary autoregressive models
  E1726:  R. Senoo, G. Motta, Y. Liu
  Linear hypothesis test for dynamic factor model
  E1736:  Y. Liu, W. Su, Y. Liu
  Statistical inference for multinomial-valued time series
Session EO097 Room: 103
Advanced statistics and machine learning for complex data analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Henghsiu Tsai Organizer: Henghsiu Tsai
  E1510:  T.-J. Yen
  An automatic approach to explainable AI with applications to medical image classification
  E1497:  C.-H. Chua, M. Guo, S.-F. Huang
  The kriging-correlation score for feature importance in high dimensional clustering
  E1512:  C.-H. Kao
  Statistical analysis of the genetic correlations between quantitative traits
  E1416:  H. Tsai, E.M.-H. Lin
  A doubly-threshold diffusion model: One threshold in drift, one in diffusion
Session EO180 Room: 104
Advances in causal inference and functional data analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Won-Ki Seo Organizer: Won-Ki Seo
  E1259:  K. Nam, W.-K. Seo
  Vector-to-density cointegration for climate damage assessment
  E1575:  W.-K. Seo
  Functional regression with nonstationarity and error contamination: Application to the economic impact of climate change
  E1658:  M. Khaled, P. Makdissi, M. Yazbeck
  Counterfactual concentration curves in difference-in-differences settings: Identification and inference
  E1725:  D. Seong, S. Shen
  Dynamic difference-in-discontinuities
Session EO082 Room: 105
New methods for spatial and network data Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Chao Yang Organizer: Chao Yang
  E1454:  D. Huang
  Differentially private estimation and inference for spatial autoregressive models
  E1730:  F. Jin
  Consistent generalized method of moments estimation of spatial autoregressive models based on non-Gaussian distributions
  E1743:  J. Chen, Y. Lin, Y. Yang
  Heteroskedasticity-robust GMM for hierarchical network models with random group effects
  E1756:  C. Yang
  Multidimensional asset networks and momentum spillover effects
Session EO187 Room: 106
Stochastic processes and probabilistic inference with dependent data Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Geoffrey Wolfer Organizer: Geoffrey Wolfer
  E1217:  P. Alquier, V. Karagulyan
  Empirical PAC-Bayes bounds for Markov chains
  E1451:  S. Nakakita
  Sample complexity for covariance estimation via the unadjusted Langevin algorithm
  E1615:  K. Yano
  Recent progress of minimum information dependence modeling
  E1223:  M. Choi
  Group-averaged Markov chains II: Tuning of group action in finite state space
Session EO284 Room: 107
Recent developments in causal inference and survival analysis Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Liming Xiang Organizer: Liming Xiang
  E1681:  R. Tawiah
  Multilevel joint model for correlated survival and binary outcome data: Application to a multicentre trial
  E1266:  M. Peng
  Estimating conditional complier quantile treatment effect via stratified quantile regression
  E1329:  H.C. Peng
  Robust estimation of population attributable fractions in the presence of multiple ordered mediators
  E1265:  L. Xiang, R. Huang
  Beyond hazard-based illness-death models for semi-competing risks data
Session EO014 Room: 201
Advances and frontiers in statistical modeling and computing Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Tsung-I Lin Organizer: Tsung-I Lin
  E1165:  W.-L. Wang, T.-I. Lin
  Finite mixtures of multivariate contaminated normal censored regression models
  E1166:  L.M. Castro Cepero, D. Morales, M. Bevilacqua
  Modeling overdispersed spatial data by using mixture random fields
  E1168:  S. Oh, G. McLachlan
  Differential gene expression via local false discovery rate with nonparametric maximum likelihood
  E1208:  M. Arashi, M. Amintoosi
  Stein-rule shrinkage for stochastic gradient estimation in high dimensions
Session EO216 Room: 202
Recent advances in robust statistics Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Masao Ueki Organizer: Abhik Ghosh
  E1240:  E. Castilla
  New robust estimation methods for diagnostic classification models
  E1337:  S. Roy, A. Ghosh, A. Basu
  Robust determination of the number of factors via divergence information criteria
  E1574:  S. Majumdar, C. Flynn, A. Guha, N. Krishna, H. Raj, S. Mukherjee
  Consistency as a testable property: Statistical methods to evaluate AI agent reliability
  E1688:  S.S. Dhar, T.S. Mahato
  A robust persistent homology trimming approach
Session EO139 Room: 203
Experimental designs: An intersection between statistics and algebra Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Frederick Kin Hing Phoa Organizer: Frederick Kin Hing Phoa
  E1250:  X.-N. Lu
  D-optimality of multi-level circulant almost orthogonal arrays
  E1243:  F.K.H. Phoa, C.-Y. Chuang
  Construction and analysis of (near-)CCOP design for mixed-level order-of-addition experiments
  E1249:  C. Shih, F.K.H. Phoa
  Design and analysis of a new class of three-level factorial design for screening experiments
  E2018:  M. Sawa
  Number-theoretic design theory
Session EO162 Room: 204
Recent developments in statistical methodology and applications Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: HaoYun Huang Organizer: Wei-Ying Wu
  E1248:  H.-J. Yang
  Extreme value theory for individuals control charts: A semiparametric approach to ensuring in-control performance
  E1528:  L.-Y. Ku, C.-S. Chen
  Spatial ZIEGP models with varying coefficient parameters
  E1828:  W.-H. Hwang
  Accounting for correlated detectability in time-to-detection wildlife surveys
  E1906:  H. Huang
  Spatial adapter: Structured spatial decomposition and closed-form covariance for frozen predictors
Session EO070 Room: 205
Statistical inference and learning Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Seonghun Cho Organizer: Seonghun Cho, Archer Yang
  E1432:  S. Hwang
  Online testing with dependent streaming data
  E1426:  K. Seo
  Conformalized method for empirical bayes normal mean inference problem with heteroscedastic variance
  E1404:  M. Dagdoug, Z. An, D. Haziza
  Agnostic model-assisted estimation in finite population sampling
  E1855:  J. Zhou, Z. Zhang
  Hypothesis testing for penalized estimating equations with cross-fitted covariance calibration
Session EC292 Room: 102
Volatility models Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Toshiaki Watanabe Organizer: EcoSta
  E1836:  K.-L. Chang
  A novel Markov-switching GAS jump-in-mean model: State-dependent dynamics and risk heterogeneity in U.S. stock indices
  E1865:  T. Furuichi, M. Asai
  Stochastic coefficient GARCH-X models: Evidence from the US and ASEAN-5 equity markets
  E1952:  A.E.-P. Lin, C.W.-S. Chen, T. Koike
  Joint tail risk forecasting for high-volatility assets based on copula semiparametric framework
  E1299:  T. Chen
  State-dependent copula particle filtering for stochastic volatility models
Session EC294 Room: 209
Bayesian computation Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Shih-Feng Huang Organizer: EcoSta
  E1321:  M. Magris
  Matrix-exponential variational inference
  E1334:  P. Kale, D. Nott, A. Jasra, X. Tong
  Moment constrained cutting feedback for modular Bayesian models
  E1354:  S. Panchasara, H. Jankowski, K. McGregor
  Scalable stochastic gradient variational inference framework for microbiome differential abundance analysis
  E2033:  L. Maestrini, K.-D. Dang, F. Hui
  Fast Bayesian analysis of mixture of Gaussian structural equation models
Session EV303 Room: Virtual R01
Estimation and density methods Saturday 08.8.2026   13:35 - 15:15
Chair: Degui Li Organizer: EcoSta
  E1886:  Y. Omura, T. Moriyama
  Probability density estimators for tail-weighted mean integrated squared error
  E1979:  H. Mukasa
  Bayes linear estimator in the general linear model
  E2037:  J. Park, T. Choi
  Bayesian semiparametric hierarchical copula density estimation for grouped data
Parallel session E: EcoSta2026 Saturday 08.8.2026 16:45 - 18:50

Session EO102 Room: B101
Theory and applications in econometrics: Some recent developments Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Yu-Chang Chen Organizer: Cy Sin
  E1296:  Y.-C. Chen, C.C. Fuh, S.E. Tsai
  Learning preference from observed rankings
  E1297:  P.-C. Huang
  Hourly versus monthly minimum wages and employment adjustment: Evidence from Taiwan
  E1304:  T.-C. Lai, Y.-C. Chen
  Structural changes, copula asymmetry, and tail dependence in Japan's equity and FX markets
  E1314:  C.-H. Wang, Y.-C. Chen
  Endogeneity, heterogeneity, and corporate default risk: A correlated random effects panel approach
  E1729:  J.-C. Yang
  Macroeconomic consequences of sustained warming: A bias-corrected dynamic heterogeneous panel approach
Session EO016 Room: B102
Modeling high-dimensional econometrics Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Degui Li Organizer: Degui Li
  E1383:  Z. Mei
  Taming high dimensional cointegrated regressors
  E1965:  S. Kanaya, J. Kim, J. Park
  Moduli of continuity of Brownian motion and related processes over an expanding time interval
  E1837:  J. Chen, Y. Li, O. Linton
  Estimation of large dynamic precision matrices with a latent semiparametric structure
  E1895:  Z. Zhang
  Estimating the number of significant components in high-dimensional principal component analysis
  E1492:  D. Li
  Model averaging of multi-layer time-varying network vector autoregressions
Session EO013 Room: B104
Empirical analysis of macroeconomic and financial data Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Kaiji Motegi Organizer: Kaiji Motegi
  E1505:  Y. Ninomiya, K. Motegi
  Testing the hysteresis hypothesis of unemployment in Japan: A cyclical time trend approach
  E1572:  N. Hara, Y. Yamamoto
  Testing and quantifying economic resilience
  E1484:  H. Jin, K. Uchida
  Why do firms prefer after-hours disclosure? Evidence from Japan
  E1566:  K. Tango, Y. Nakazono, J. Takahashi
  The impact of consumption stimulus design on the MPC: Evidence from a survey experiment
  E1498:  K. Motegi, J. Dennis, S. Hamori
  Conditional threshold autoregression (CoTAR)
Session EO206 Room: 101
Bayesian time series analysis of cryptocurrency markets Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Teruo Nakatsuma Organizer: Teruo Nakatsuma
  E1480:  S. Oya, T. Nakatsuma
  Minimum variance versus market cap portfolios in cryptocurrency market
  E1775:  Y. Chen
  LLM-Orchestrated Bayesian Nonparametric Risk framework for Cryptocurrency
  E1500:  Y. Mori, M. Nakakita, T. Nakatsuma
  Forecasting Bitcoin volatility with non-Gaussian realized stochastic volatility models
  E1723:  M. Fukui
  Deep hedging under CRRA preferences
  E1542:  T. Toyabe, M. Nakakita, S. Oya, N. Kubota, T. Nakatsuma
  A Bayesian panel data study on socioeconomic factors influencing exercise habits in Japan
Session EO192 Room: 102
Statistical modeling and inference with structural information Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Catherine Liu Organizer: Catherine Liu
  E1842:  C.Y. Lee, K.Y. Wong, H. Zhang, Y. Qu
  Bayesian analysis of Cox regression with partly linear covariate effects via reversible jump MCMC.
  E2032:  C. Liu
  Changepoint detection under the heterogeneous factor strength
  E2047:  R. Luo
  Certifiable perception: Generating safety maps via conformal segmentation
  E1897:  K.Y. Wong, H. Wang, Q. Zhou
  Inference and variable selection for two-phase studies with high-dimensional covariates
  E2080:  L. Li, C. Liu, E. Chen
  Covariate-augmented tensor factor models
Session EO156 Room: 103
Statistical machine learning for complex data Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Tsung-I Lin Organizer: Xingqiu Zhao
  E1814:  K. Ren
  Robust estimation and inference for accelerated failure time models via double machine learning
  E1815:  X. Lin, X. Zhao
  Deep transfer learning by model averaging for survival analysis
  E2063:  W. Cui, X. Ji, W. Su, X. Zhao
  A general framework for fair and robust regression
  E2064:  X. Ji, W. Cui, W. Su, X. Yan, X. Zhao
  Optimal transport learning: Balancing value optimization and fairness in individualized treatment rules
  E2078:  A. Feng, Q. Wu, X. Hu, X. Zhao
  Deep nonparametric inference for conditional mean models with panel count data
Session EO103 Room: 105
Spatial statistics Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Pei-Sheng Lin Organizer: Pei-Sheng Lin
  E1338:  Y.-H. Kung
  Tree-based methods for spatially dependent data: A case study of housing prices in Taipei
  E1370:  C.-S. Chen, C.-M. Hsu
  Efficient and distribution-free variable selection in spatial models with zero inflation
  E1373:  C. Chang
  Threshold-boundary Poisson regression models for counting data analysis
  E1436:  Y.-M. Chang, Y.-C. Lin, P.-H. Huang, T.T.T.L. Nguyen
  Predicting income inequality: A non-stationary spatial covariance approach
  E1494:  T.-H. Wen
  Autonomous spatial statistical analysis with large language model agents
Session EO071 Room: 106
Recent developments in statistical computing and applications Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Shih-Feng Huang Organizer: Shih-Feng Huang
  E1377:  R.-B. Chen, T.-C. Chang, K.-J. Lee
  Indicator-based Bayesian variable selection for ordinal probit regression model
  E1375:  C.-H. Chu, S. Lee, S.-F. Huang
  A Bayesian approach for change point detection in multivariate time series
  E1646:  W.-T. Lai, S.-F. Huang, R.-B. Chen
  Particle-filter variational Bayesian estimation for VAR models with compound Poisson jumps
  E1376:  T.-H. Chien, M. Guo, S.-F. Huang
  Portfolio optimization via dynamic networks and vine copulas
  E1374:  S.-F. Huang
  Statistical inference for a contaminated zero-inflated compound Poisson-gamma process with applications
Session EO223 Room: 107
Advances in causal inference: From structure learning to effect estimation Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Shohei Shimizu Organizer: Honglang Wang
  E1310:  M. Sugiyama
  Recent advances in reward modeling for reinforcement learning
  E1472:  Y. Chikahara
  Toward interventionally fair decision-making under partial causal graph knowledge
  E1626:  S. Shimizu
  From prediction to understanding: Causal discovery for data science and AI applications
  E1962:  T. Shinozaki
  Robust and efficient g-estimation of structural nested mean models in randomized trials with partial compliance
  E1193:  L. Wang, Y. Zhu, R. Cook
  Selection of mediators and dependence structure for high-dimensional mediation analysis
Session EO229 Room: 202
High-dimensional analysis for healthcare, finance, and environment Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Amanda Chu Organizer: Amanda Chu, Mike So
  E1428:  C. Sin
  On desparsified focused information criterion for high-dimensional linear models: with an application to PM2.5 data
  E1399:  E.M.-H. Lin
  Periodic intraday volatility modeling and forecasting
  E1945:  T. Chan, M. So, A. Chu, C.S. Shui
  Model-based clustering with item response and textual data
  E1934:  A. Chu
  Advancing psychosocial health assessment with Automatic Speech Analytics Program (ASAP)
  E1918:  S.H. Chan
  Integrating LLM sentiment, emotional word scoring, and syntactic dependency in speech for depression detection
Session EO142 Room: 203
Discussion on experimental design and dimension reduction Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Shao-Hsuan Wang Organizer: Shao-Hsuan Wang
  E1439:  Y.-S. Cheng, C.-Y. Peng
  Optimal test planning for heterogeneous wiener processes
  E1659:  S.-H. Huang
  On the theoretical limits and structure of optimal designs in group testing regression
  E1884:  S.-H. Wang
  Bayesian sparse principal coordinates analysis with microbiome discoveries
  E1969:  H.-L. Hsu
  Approximate mixture designs under the DuMouchel-Jones Bayesian D-optimality criterion
  E2076:  C.-T. Chen, S.-H. Huang, Z.-J. Lin
  Robust estimation and efficient design for group testing under error uncertainty
Session EO202 Room: 205
Bayesian AI: Foundations, algorithms, fairness Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Rafael Weissbach Organizer: Rafael Weissbach
  E1513:  J. Hankyo
  Blockwise-fairness gap penalty for subgroup-fair clustering
  E1530:  M. Chae, J. Lee, J. Choi, D. Kim
  Bayesian one-pass online learning for generalized linear models
  E1531:  K. Izumi, H. Michimae
  Bayesian analysis of competing risks data with dependent left truncation via a trivariate Gaussian copula
  E1536:  C. Kim
  Bayesian neural networks for functional ANOVA model
  E1687:  T. Jansen, D. Wied
  Truncation-adjusted maximum likelihood for Weibull duration models
Session EO133 Room: 208
Statistical and AI methods for spatial omics Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Can Yang Organizer: Can Yang
  E1327:  J. Liu
  CoxFormer enables spatial omics inference with multimodal generative modeling
  E1773:  M. Cai
  Cross-modal denoising and integration of spatial multi-omics data with CANDIES
  E1811:  Z. Lin
  MultiGATE: Integrative analysis and regulatory inference for spatial multi-omics
  E1812:  X. Shi
  Automated landmark discovery method for integration of spatial omics data
  E1818:  J. Xiao
  NicheScope: Identifying multicellular niches and niche-regulated cell states in spatial transcriptomics
Session EC278 Room: B103
Applied econometrics Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Dmitri Blueschke Organizer: EcoSta
  E1163:  F.-C. Kuo
  Subsidy promise and anticipation effects: Evidence from electric motorcycles
  E1204:  J. Rejthar, P. Krautwurm
  The honeymoon effect in team performance: Evidence from Counter-Strike
  E1889:  D. Blueschke, M. Islam, O. Mariev, V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva
  European mineral trade and technology-driven energy transition: Stringent policy vs. geopolitical risks
  E1910:  C.-S. Lin
  Economic policy uncertainty, financial development, and shadow economy: Evidence from cross-country data
  E1307:  K.C. Chen
  The impact of Japan's negative interest rate policy on bank efficiency: A multi-dimensional approach
Session EC291 Room: 104
Variable selection Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Alexandra Soberon Organizer: EcoSta
  E1926:  S. Cha, K. Lee
  Clustering high-dimensional continuous and categorical data via variable selection
  E1955:  S. Kim, Y. Jung
  Signal recoverability: A unified measure for proxy modality validation
  E1985:  M. Ran
  Joint structural break detection and variable selection in high-dimensional functional models: Sleep EEG application
  E1164:  W.-C. Hsiao
  Consistent variable selection for high-dimensional complex regression structures: A two-stage screening approach
  E2083:  X. Guan
  An empirical Bayes algorithm for variable selection with applications in genetic fine-mapping
Session EC252 Room: 201
Computational methods Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Liang Zhong Organizer: EcoSta
  E1890:  V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva, D. Blueschke, R. Neck
  An evolutionary approach to obtain a Nash equilibrium in a coalition game
  E1991:  T. Chen
  Accelerated generalized estimating equations via inexact quasi-Newton preconditioned conjugate gradient
  E2001:  M. Zetlaoui, P. Bertail
  Scaling and convergence rates of subsampling distributions for big data
  E1859:  E. Chou
  PCA-based layer compression for Siamese neural networks
  E1371:  B. Jia
  Generative adversarial network stopping for robust surrendering
Session EC259 Room: 209
Biostatistics Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Masao Ueki Organizer: EcoSta
  E1274:  Y.-K. Tseng, T.-L. Wang
  Semiparametric brier score framework for evaluating prediction accuracy under interval censoring
  E1283:  C. Wang, Y.-T. Huang
  Integrating Bayesian generative AI with weighted logistic regression for imbalanced biomedical data classification
  E1464:  A. Futschik
  On the inadmissibility of a well-known population genetic estimate and its improvement using shrinkage
  E1992:  T. Omori, Y. Takagi, S. Murakami
  KISS with the standard error: A sample size determination for a feasible sample size
  E1998:  Y. Takagi, S. Murakami, H. Yadohisa, T. Omori
  On assessment of the pre-specified treatment effect in clinical trials
Session EP001 Room: 204
Poster Session I Saturday 08.8.2026   16:45 - 18:50
Chair: Louisa Kontoghiorghes Organizer: EcoSta
  E1349:  Y. Jung, I. Jang, M. Park
  Geometric metric for identifying long-range interactions in three-dimensional chromatin structure
  E1869:  S. Lee, S. Kim, E. Lee, B.-Y. Park
  Persistence image-based deep Cox modeling for MCI-to-AD conversion time under right-censoring
  E1936:  W.-M. Wang
  A framework for estimating lifetime disability trajectories and costs via survival extrapolation
  E1947:  J. Jeong, E. Lee
  fSKAT: A set-based association test for functional responses in genetic studies
  E1987:  S. Kim, Y.-J. Kim
  Survival trees for competing risks data with time-varying covariates
  E2002:  S. Baek
  Explainable writer verification through dynamic handwriting feature analysis
  E2020:  S. Jeong
  Enhancing the reliability of deep learning-based shoeprint image analysis via explainable AI (XAI)
  E2095:  N. Al Maashari, I. Al Hasani
  Predicting X-ray plateau occurrence in gamma-ray bursts using statistical and machine learning approaches
  E2096:  S. Al Siyabi, I. Al Hasani
  High-dimensional clustering and random forest regression for pixel-level crop classification and suitability in Oman
Parallel session F: EcoSta2026 Sunday 09.8.2026 08:15 - 09:30

Session EO233 Room: B101
Advances in econometrics Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Chen Qiu Organizer: Kevin Chen
  E1554:  S. Higbee
  Experimental design for policy choice
  E1713:  K. Izumi, K. Sunada
  Safe anytime-valid optimal policy recommendation
  E1791:  H. Lee
  Orthogonal dynamic programming for sequential treatment allocation
Session EO075 Room: B102
Empirical analysis of economic, financial, and energy data Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Xiaojing Cai Organizer: Xiaojing Cai
  E1568:  W. Zhang
  Investor attention as a driver of connectedness across FX, bond, stock, and commodity markets: Evidence from the FFR
  E1577:  L. Xu
  Asian FX market interconnectedness and the quantile-frequency linkage with global macroeconomic factors
  E1447:  X. Cai
  Natural gas prices and macroeconomies: Evidence from exporting and importing countries
Session EO155 Room: B104
Random matrix theory and its applications in high dimensional statistics Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Zeng Li Organizer: Zeng Li
  E1843:  Z. Li
  Mean-shift PCA by knockoff mean
  E2003:  Q. Wang
  High-dimensional white noise tests via autocorrelations
  E2065:  X. Wang, L. Feng, X. Wang, L. Zhou
  Rank-based sparse regression in principal components space under measurement error
Session EO132 Room: Virtual R01
Recent developments in feature screening and FDR control Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Chenlu Ke Organizer: Chenlu Ke
  E1267:  W. Wu, B. Yang
  Feature screening for high-dimensional data with measurement errors using adjusted martingale difference correlation
  E1491:  S.A. Sanni, Y. Yu, Z. Zhao
  Data-adaptive conditional quantile screening with FDR control in ultra-high-dimensional data
  E1727:  Y. Nguyen
  Improving predictive model false discovery rate estimation
Session EO178 Room: 101
Quickest change detection algorithms for complex systems (virtual) Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Patrick Vincent Lubenia Organizer: Taposh Banerjee
  E1715:  P.V. Lubenia, T. Banerjee
  Multiple-experiment quickest change detection under cost constraints
  E1765:  I. Banerjee
  Nonparametric multi change point detection for Markov chains via adaptive clustering
  E1772:  A. Adibi
  Asymptotically optimal change detection for unnormalized pre- and post-change distributions
Session EO122 Room: 102
Recent advances in AI and statistical methods for neuroscience Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Jocelyn Chi Organizer: Jocelyn Chi
  E1431:  Y.H. Liu, V. Geadah, J. Pillow
  Flexible inference of animal learning rules using neural networks
  E1851:  Q. Fan
  Sequential mixed-methods evaluation of AI-assisted digital health platforms in dementia care
  E1867:  J. Yates
  Data-driven and normative approaches to modeling neural data
Session EO117 Room: 103
Mathematical foundation of language models Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Junwei Lu Organizer: Junwei Lu
  E1176:  J. Lu
  Preference inference for language model evaluation
  E1177:  R. Nakada, W. Ji, T. Cai, J. Zou, L. Zhang
  A theoretical framework for prompt engineering: Approximating smooth functions with transformer prompts
  E1178:  Y. Cao, J. Lu
  Algorithm-dependent learning analysis of over-parameteried neural networks
Session EO201 Room: 104
Modern statistical methods for classification Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Larry Tang Organizer: Larry Tang
  E1189:  Z. Wang
  Learning subtle neurodegeneration for early Alzheimer's disease detection
  E1227:  L. Tang, A. Alipour Yengejeh
  Exploring scientific literature using topic modeling: A practical framework for discovery and classification
  E1848:  C. Saunders, C. Giefer, J. Hanka, S. Michael
  Strategies for testing the equality of properties of two distributions of scores
Session EO169 Room: 105
Flexible and interpretable statistical learning Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Hoseung Song Organizer: Hoseung Song
  E1207:  H. Jeong
  Tweedie multivariate semi-parametric credibility with the exchangeable correlation
  E1649:  B. Seo, J. Li
  Explainable machine learning by SEE-Net: Closing the gap between interpretable models and DNNs
  E1762:  Y. Song
  Asymptotic theory for exponentially weighted aggregated penalized splines
Session EO188 Room: 106
Statistical learning for complex structured data Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: John Stufken Organizer: Wen Yu
  E1385:  L. Dai, T. Li, K. Chen
  A model-free correlation coefficient for censored data
  E2074:  S. Zhang, Y. Chen, I. Moustaki
  Learning directed latent variable networks with measurement error
  E2075:  Y. Qiu
  Self-balancing neural network: A novel method to estimate average treatment effect
  E2097:  G. Fang
  Clustered Bi-convex learning
Session EO042 Room: 107
Complex data: Data integration and scalable Bayesian inference Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Myungjin Kim Organizer: Myungjin Kim
  E1543:  D. Lee
  Cross-cohort data integration for complex surveys with unobserved target outcomes
  E1641:  J. Lee, M. Kim, G. Goh
  Scalable Bayesian classifier with many relevant features
  E1731:  G. Goh
  Scalable data augmentation for high-dimensional Bayesian regression and classification
Session EO053 Room: 201
Recent developments in multiple testing and industrial statistics Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Yuhang Xu Organizer: Dongdong Xiang, Yuhang Xu
  E1288:  A. Yeh
  Multivariate control charts based on multiple testing procedures
  E1363:  Z. Zhang, W. Li, F. Tsung, D. Xiang
  Large-scale fault diagnosis for multi-group data with auxiliary information via distributed multiple testing
  E1365:  Y. Xu
  Screening main and interaction effects in a Plackett-Burman design
Session EO163 Room: 202
Advances in modern data analysis Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Sang-Yun Oh Organizer: Xiucai Ding
  E1693:  X.H. Tai, L. Peritz, K. Russ, N. Ulle, C. Stahmer
  Uncovering public health priorities at the World Health Organization
  E1819:  J. Fuquene
  A Bayesian approach for producing subnational population estimates using a population base statistical register
  E1879:  Z. Chen
  Lipschitz-regularized probability divergences and applications to generative modeling
Session EO234 Room: 203
Design and analysis of randomized experiments Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Jizhou Liu Organizer: Jizhou Liu
  E1584:  H. Guo, Y. Bai, X. Huang, J. Liu
  Inference for bipartite experiments: A superpopulation perspective
  E1619:  X. Huang
  A new design-based variance estimator for finely stratified experiments
  E1664:  P. Tian, P. Ding, J. Liu
  Regression-based and design-based causal inference in two-sided experiments
Session EO285 Room: 204
Topics in time series analysis Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Kejin Wu Organizer: Kejin Wu
  E1835:  Y. Zheng
  Tensor stochastic regression for high-dimensional time series via CP decomposition
  E1902:  Y. Cui, Z. Zhou
  Simultaneous inference for time series functional linear regression
  E1907:  K. Wu
  Prediction inference of time series with standard ReLU deep neural networks
Session EO092 Room: 205
Advanced statistical modelling for health data and surveillance Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Kuan Liu Organizer: Kuan Liu
  E1459:  M. Shi, K. Liu
  Bayesian hierarchical bootstrap framework for causal subgroup estimation with a time-to-event outcome
  E1523:  A. Mitani, H. Chen, Y. Wang, C. McCulloch
  Assessing the reliability of longitudinal electronic dental records through agreement of periodontal markers
  E1632:  O. Espin-Garcia, J. Yuan
  Two-phase study design under differential unit costs: Insights from metaheuristic algorithms
  E1690:  J. Slater
  Probabilistic reconstructions of epidemic curves using wastewater data
Session EO077 Room: 208
Statistical methods for the analysis of data in biomedical studies Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Yisheng Li Organizer: Zhezhen Jin
  E1720:  A. Chen, J. Hu, R.J. Rosychuk
  Statistical learning of pediatric mental health emergency department visits before, during, and after COVID-19 pandemic
  E1970:  C.-H. Huang
  A framework of Polya-Gamma Gibbs sampler for analyzing panel counts and terminal event time data
  E1977:  J. Xu
  High-dimensional error-in-variables survival analysis
Session EV274 Room: 209
Multivariate and high-dimensional methods (virtual) Sunday 09.8.2026   08:15 - 09:30
Chair: Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga Organizer: EcoSta
  E1903:  F. Severino, H. Fathi, M. Cremona
  Globally aligned principal component analysis for multi-group data
  E1892:  R.-C. Lee
  The blessing of overfitting in instrumental variables: Inference with non-sparse high-dimensional signals
  E2007:  M. Zanecki
  Change-point prediction/detection as alternative to insurer traditional hedging for equity benefit guarantees
Parallel session G: EcoSta2026 Sunday 09.8.2026 10:00 - 12:05

Session EI005 Room: 201
New advances in sports analytics Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Anqi Chen Organizer: Xiaoqiong Joan Hu
  E1157:  T. Swartz
  The problem of aging in soccer
  E1158:  T. Guan
  Understanding football receiver routes through functional data clustering
  E1606:  K. Peng, T. Guan, X. Zhao
  Hierarchical Bayesian joint modeling of athlete performance trajectories and latent peak ages
  E1733:  R. Isaacs
  A Bayesian frailty model for the timing of corner kicks in association football
Session EI003 Room: 202
Machine learning and statistics: Benefits and pitfalls Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Ansgar Steland Organizer: Ansgar Steland
  E1218:  J. Lederer
  How can mathematics contribute to AI?
  E1210:  T. Krivobokova
  Machine learning and statistical methods for high-throughput experimentation data
  E1261:  K. Tsui
  Personalized health monitoring through AI and sensor technology
  E1695:  O. Okhrin
  Reinforcementlearning in transportation
Session EO186 Room: B101
Robust methods for causal learning and decision-making Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Abhimanyu Gupta Organizer: Dennis Shen
  E1617:  C. Harshaw, C. Gao, F. Savje, Y. Wang
  Hypothesis testing for detecting network interference in randomized experiments
  E1840:  J.X. Han
  When-if decision-making using synthetic survival control
  E1896:  Y. Wang
  Stable causal estimation with optimal transport
  E1911:  E. Munro, P. Hull, K. Borusyak
  Robust signal maximization
Session EO232 Room: B102
New developments in econometrics Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Katsumi Shimotsu Organizer: Yuichi Kitamura
  E1931:  G. Cox
  A simple and adaptive confidence interval when nuisance parameters satisfy an inequality
  E1954:  E. Mbakop, L. Goff
  Testing the solvability of systems of linear inequalities
  E1913:  J. Feng, L. Goff
  RDD without a discontinuity: Correcting for Berkson measurement error in the running variable
  E1940:  K. Shimotsu, H. Kasahara, Y. Hao
  Semiparametric identification of the discount factor and payoff function in dynamic discrete choice models
  E1915:  M. Li, D. Andrews, Y. Zheng
  Initial-condition-robust inference in autoregressive models
Session EO062 Room: B103
Econometrics and statistics for financial and demographic data Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Toshiaki Watanabe Organizer: Toshiaki Watanabe, Yasuhiro Omori
  E1467:  T. Ishihara, T. Hirano
  Heterogeneous autoregressive models driven by Gaussian processes with the generalized Cauchy covariance function
  E1476:  K. Sasaki, N. Awaya, G. Kobayashi, S. Sugasawa
  Tree-embedded Bayesian factor models for multidimensional categorical distributions
  E1477:  D. Hiraki, Y. Omori
  Unified mixture sampler for state-space models: Application to stochastic conditional duration models
  E1637:  X. Zheng, M. Ubukata, K. Oya
  Examining volatility roughness in the Japanese stock market
  E1734:  M. Takahashi, M. Yamada
  Reassessing price discovery measures in high-frequency data: Evidence from the Japanese stock market
Session EO129 Room: B104
Advances in data science of large-scale time series Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Yoshimasa Uematsu Organizer: Yoshimasa Uematsu
  E1448:  M. Nishi, Y. Uematsu, T. Yamagata
  Unveiling large dynamic systems via simultaneous impulse response inference
  E1527:  Y. Komiyama, Y. Matsuda, M. Ishihara
  A finite-horizon mixture cure model with application to online flea market data
  E1673:  K. Sato, Y. Katsuragi, Y. Matsuda
  Data-driven forecasting of wind vectors over the Tohoku region by convolutional LSTM and copulas using NWP outputs
  E1680:  R. Miyazaki, Y. Uematsu
  Testing conditional independence via the spectral generalized covariance measure: Beyond Euclidean data
  E1820:  J. Striaukas, J. Roth
  Inference for sparse duration models
Session EO189 Room: 101
Advances in high-dimensional data analysis Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Rahul Ghosal Organizer: Rahul Ghosal
  E1209:  B. Hadj-Amar, M. Vannucci, V. Krishnan
  Frequency selection in Bayesian spectral modeling of time series data with applications to wearable device measurements
  E1221:  E. Saha
  A Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating cell-type-specific multi-omic networks from bulk-omics data
  E1233:  R. Ghosal
  Variable selection in functional linear Cox model
  E1232:  S. Koner
  Covariate-adjusted conditional quantile regression for functional data
  E1269:  I. Sahoo, P. Bybordi, R. Ghosal, K. Fultz, T.D. Green, C. Ke
  AI-assisted STR genotyping from high-resolution melt curves for rapid forensic screening
  E1844:  S. Majumder
  Bayesian variable selection for censored spatial responses with application to PFAS concentrations in California
Session EO240 Room: 102
Recent developments in theory of complex data Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Cy Sin Organizer: Cy Sin
  E1294:  C.-S. Dai
  Multinomial logistic regression utilizing external machine learning predictions
  E1302:  H.-H. Huang
  Variable selection for high-dimensional regression models with higher-order interactions
  E1719:  J.-C. Liao
  Cross-validated estimation window averaging for multi-step forecasting
  E1501:  Y.-M. Yen
  Double/debiased machine learning estimation of the conditional tail average treatment effect in mediation analysis
  E1622:  S.-Y. Yin
  Non-stationary challenges in partial least squares: Applications to forecasting
  E1745:  L.-Y. Chen, J. Szroeter
  Robust testing of the matrix semidefiniteness hypothesis: A weighted eigenvalue sum approach
Session EO236 Room: 103
Recent advances in statistical learning Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Wenbo Jing Organizer: Yichen Zhang
  E1340:  T. Lim, W. Ha, K. Nam
  Learning implicit multivariate interactions via Gibbs relaxation
  E1419:  M. Zhang
  Comparator-adaptive $\Phi$-regret: Improved bounds, simpler algorithms, and applications to games
  E1944:  Z. Lai
  Statistical inference in multi-timescale stochastic approximation
  E1258:  W. Jing, X. Chen, E. Chen
  Data-driven knowledge transfer in batch Q* learning
  E2023:  M. Yu, T. Jacobson, D. Ham
  Large-scale linear hypothesis testing for high-dimensional renewable M-estimator
Session EO101 Room: 104
Statistical methods for functional and high-dimensional data (virtual) Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Eliana Christou Organizer: Eliana Christou
  E1703:  H. Yeon
  Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for functional principal component regression
  E1706:  S. Wang, E. Christou, E. Solea, J. Song
  Nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction for conditional quantiles in scalar-on-function single-index models
  E1737:  D. Mukherjee, S. Bo, A. Ghassami
  MediEncoder: Nonlinear factor learning via autoencoders for high-dimensional causal mediation analysis
  E1768:  S. Golovkine, Y. Zhu, A. Simpkin, N. Bargary
  Covariance estimation for derivatives of functional data using an additive penalty in P-splines
  E1846:  F. Xue
  Generalized heterogeneous functional model with applications to large-scale mobile health data
Session EO181 Room: 105
Advanced statistical modeling of complex spatiotemporal systems Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Yan Sun Organizer: Yan Sun
  E1357:  X. Lu
  Stochastic spatial stream networks for scalable inferences of riverscape processes
  E1358:  K. Duah, Y. Sun, M. Moussa
  A random quantile approach for prior covariance estimation in Bayesian maximum entropy
  E1524:  T.A. Gamlath Dissanayakalage
  Extending Bayesian maximum entropy using random sets theory for interval-valued spatial data
  E1728:  Z. Lu, W. Gan, N.H. Chan
  Jointly modeling zeros, regimes, and lags in epidemic count data via penalized spatio-temporal mixture models
  E1343:  Y. Sun, M. Moussa, W. Zhang, S. Zhe
  AI-guided single-index varying coefficient logistic modeling: A rain-snow partitioning case study
Session EO239 Room: 106
Recent developments in spatio-temporal modeling and multivariate inference Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Bohai Zhang Organizer: Bohai Zhang
  E1882:  J. Kim, T. Kim, J. Jeong
  Spatio-temporal analysis of wave power around the Korean Peninsula
  E1957:  Y.E. Shin
  Dynamic network modeling for the spatiotemporal progression of high-dimensional data
  E1967:  X. Peng
  An RP-MMD framework for multivariate goodness-of-fit testing in location-scale families
  E1956:  S. Chen, M. Zhou, H. Peng
  Model-free feature screening via revised Chatterjee's rank correlation for ultra-high dimensional censored data
  E1888:  B. Zhang
  Inference of spatially varying coefficient model with covariate measurement errors
Session EO286 Room: 107
Modern advances in Bayesian computation and inference (virtual) Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Ray Bai Organizer: Ray Bai
  E1613:  J. Kim, P. Zhai, V. Rockova
  Generative quantile Bayes
  E1789:  A. McLain, R. Bai, R. Ghosal, E. Saha
  Parameter exploded variational Bayes for sparse high-dimensional linear regression
  E1796:  S. Srivastava, K. Khare, S. Sarkar
  A scalable Bayesian framework for high-dimensional mixed-effects models via compression
  E1807:  Y. Yang, H. Jiang, Y. Wang
  Simulation-based inference via structured score matching
  E1777:  D. Cai
  Batch and match: Black-box variational inference with a score-based divergence
Session EO161 Room: 203
Statistical learning: Calibration, interpretability, and scalable inference Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Lin Wang Organizer: Chenlu Shi, Lin Wang
  E1555:  C. Shi, L. Wang
  Axis-neighbor geometry and length-scale identifiability in Gaussian process models
  E1576:  C.-H. Huang, S.-W. Cheng
  Essence codings: A data-driven approach for interpreting black-box models through factorial effects
  E1614:  L. Wang
  Influence-guided subsampling
  E1963:  H. Ye, H. Li
  A unified framework for multicalibration boosting with application to survival prediction
  E2058:  Y. Guan
  A multi-fidelity tensor emulator for spatiotemporal outputs: Emulation of Arctic sea ice dynamics
Session EO227 Room: 205
Recent advances in mixture models (virtual) Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Jeffrey Andrews Organizer: Jeffrey Andrews
  E1698:  S. Dang
  A mixture of logistic-normal multinomial distribution and its extension to biclustering
  E1550:  Y. Fang
  Mixtures of logistic matrix-variate normal multinomial models for efficient clustering longitudinal microbiome data
  E1639:  H. Lu
  Mixtures of spatial factor analyzers for tensor-variate data
  E1780:  B. Franczak
  On model-based clustering of longitudinal data with missing values
  E2044:  P. McNicholas
  On handling outliers
Session EO241 Room: 208
STEPP and Q-TWIST: A Tribute to Richard D. Gelber, PhD Professor Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Ann Lazar Organizer: Ann Lazar
  E1172:  B. Cole
  Evaluating trade-offs in cancer clinical trials: The Q-TWiST method
  E1159:  A. Lazar
  Introduction to subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot
  E1976:  W.-K. Yip, S. Venturini
  STEPP method for basic GLM models
  E1997:  M. Bonetti, L. Benetti
  Subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot (STEPP): A review and a Bayesian extension for binary outcomes
  E1160:  R. Gelber
  STEPP and Q-TWIST
Session EO183 Room: 209
Modern statistical methods: Inference, optimization, and learning Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Yao Zhang Organizer: Yao Zhang
  E1328:  Y. Xu, Y. Yuan, R. Zhan
  Autoregressive learning under joint KL analysis
  E1450:  N. Si, W. Cheng, N. Chen, P. Gao
  Statistical analysis of interleaving designs in A/B tests
  E1685:  S. Shen
  Online inference for optimal assortments via minimal directional perturbation radius of a max-difference statistic
  E1771:  J.-H. Du, K. Roeder, L. Wasserman
  Seeing through correlations: Disentangled feature importance
  E1827:  Z. Gao
  Causal partial identification via optimal transport
Session EV302 Room: Virtual R01
Forecasting and market dynamics Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Wenbo Wu Organizer: EcoSta
  E2051:  H. Lee, K. Lee
  Algorithmic trading in a Hawkes flocking LOB model
  E1353:  B. Leidig, H. Lee
  Evaluating hybrid deep learning architectures for day-ahead electricity price forecasting in the German spot market
  E1241:  S. Kim, S. Cho
  Conformal inference for multi-horizon forecasting in financial panel data: A block-wise segmentation approach
  E1971:  B. Qu, E. Barrios, H. Lee, S. Eu-Gene
  A semi-parametric additive hybrid model: An application to SSE composite index forecasting
  E1937:  K.-X. Chang, H.-Y. Chiu
  Temporal information extraction for cross-sectional stock return prediction
Session EP300 Room: 204
Poster Session II Sunday 09.8.2026   10:00 - 12:05
Chair: Louisa Kontoghiorghes Organizer: EcoSta
  E1181:  K. Na Bangchang
  Economic determinants of unemployment and forecasting the unemployment rate in Thailand
  E1244:  S. Kim, S. Cho
  Distribution-free finite-sample inference for pre-trend testing in difference-in-differences estimation with panel data
  E1344:  J. Im, Y. Jung, M. Park
  Robust spatio-temporal graph modeling for behavior monitoring under heterogeneous environments
  E1433:  G. Kundhi, P. Rilstone
  Asymptotic expansions and approximate moments for non-linear panel data models with separable errors
  E1857:  K. Lim, S. Lee
  Forecasting U.S. inflation with Bayesian state-space models: Predictive coverage and posterior diagnostics
  E1908:  C. Song, H. Park
  An adaptive empirical Bayes confidence interval for mean estimation under mean-variance dependence
  E1948:  J. Kim, I.D. Ha
  A deep learning random-effect modelling approach for longitudinal count data
Parallel session H: EcoSta2026 Sunday 09.8.2026 13:35 - 14:50

Session EO283 Room: B101
Recent advances in networks and interference II Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Mengsi Gao Organizer: Mengsi Gao
  E1264:  L. Chen, Y. Sasaki
  Heterogeneous effects of endogenous treatments with interference and spillovers in a large network
  E1421:  G. Park
  Policy targeting with market equilibrium
  E1422:  M. Gao
  Endogenous interference in randomized experiments
Session EO106 Room: B102
Modeling for multivariate data and causal inference methods Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Gyuhyeong Goh Organizer: Gyuhyeong Goh
  E1635:  J. Yu, G. Goh
  Interactive fixed effects models for macro-policy analysis
  E1740:  J. Jo, G. Goh, D. Dey
  Fully Bayesian synthetic control methods with sparse convex hull restriction and Gaussian process
  E1746:  K. Lee
  Mixture of multivariate linear models with heteroscedastic covariance matrices
Session EO126 Room: B103
Data analytics and decision models in operations management Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Donghao Zhu Organizer: Donghao Zhu
  E1732:  Y. Zennyo, Y. Tsunoda, Y. Ishihara
  Loss-leader pricing on hybrid platforms: A multiproduct perspective
  E1958:  J. Bu, S. Wang, S. Yang
  Non-stationary stochastic optimization: Adaptive algorithm and applications in operations
  E1697:  D. Zhu, H. Yu, J. Shi
  Green order first: Matching and dispatching under sustainability-aware demand
Session EO008 Room: 101
EcoSta journal session Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Kento Egashira Organizer: Erricos Kontoghiorghes, Ana Colubi
  E1242:  S. Hudecova
  Multivariate change-point detection via optimal transport and characteristic functions
  E2059:  S. Chenouri
  Robust multiple change point detection for object data
  E1678:  Y. Wang, H. Chen, L. Su
  Real-time monitoring of global inflation heterogeneity
Session EO074 Room: 102
Advances in graph data analysis Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Daisuke Murakami Organizer: Chenlei Leng
  E1368:  Y. Ma, C. Leng
  Network propagation regression: A general and interpretable framework for network-linked data
  E2028:  B. Jiang
  Dynamic networks with node heterogeneity and homophily
  E2072:  W. Wang
  Node ranking on directed graphs under outgoing-link-profile differential privacy
Session EO039 Room: 103
Statistical learning: Structural complexity, inference, distributed models Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Chao Zheng Organizer: Chao Zheng
  E1761:  G. Yuan, Z. Liu, C.Y. Yau
  A coefficient space projection approach for penalized regression problems
  E1764:  S. Park
  Towards reliable and efficient semi-supervised inference with black-box AI models
  E1776:  Y. Wang
  Estimation and inference for nonparametric expected shortfall regression over RKHS
Session EO069 Room: 105
Cross sectional econometrics: Theory and applications Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Abhimanyu Gupta Organizer: Abhimanyu Gupta
  E1674:  L.N. Taylor
  A plea offer you cannot refuse
  E1679:  J. Zhang, C. Yahui, X. Han, L. Su
  Profile GMM estimation of spatial dynamic panels with endogenous weight matrix and interactive fixed effects
  E1766:  A. Gupta, M. Comola, C. Comunello
  A nonparametric test for cross-unit spillovers
Session EO134 Room: 202
Dimension reduction methods and related topics Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Hung Hung Organizer: Hung Hung
  E1487:  Z.-Y. Jou
  Distributed and personalized PCA via matrix beta-mean aggregation
  E1571:  K. Hayashi, H. Hung
  Product-CCA: An ordering-robust canonical correlation analysis procedure without efficiency loss
  E1754:  J.-R. Liu, H. Hung
  Generalized information criterion for rank selection in high-dimensional CCA
Session EO056 Room: 203
Recent advances in covariance and inverse covariance estimation Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Sang-Yun Oh Organizer: Sang-Yun Oh
  E1540:  T. Tu, T.-H. Lee
  Tensor portfolio
  E1628:  C. Xu, Y. Yang
  Distributionally robust PCA with data-adaptive Wasserstein geometry
  E1643:  S.-Y. Oh, G. Park, S. Oh
  Relaxed sparsest-permutation formulation for causal discovery at scale
Session EO141 Room: 205
Recent advances in statistical inference for complex data Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Shuyuan Wu Organizer: Shuyuan Wu
  E1311:  J. Tu
  Robust variational Bayes by min-max median aggregation
  E1537:  Y. Ren, X. Zhu, G. Xu, Y. Ma
  Multi-relational network autoregression model with latent group structures
  E2021:  D. Han, J. Park, G. Kobayashi, T. Choi
  Robust high-dimensional multivariate regression with non-Gaussian errors via global-local shrinkage priors
Session EO147 Room: 208
Modern methods for Bayesian computation and sampling Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Jieun Lee Organizer: Meng Li
  E1316:  X. Tong
  Convergence analysis of parametric Fisher-Rao flow
  E1366:  L. Wang
  Accelerating sampling using birth-death dynamics
  E1668:  S. Pathiraja
  Wasserstein Fisher Rao gradient flows: Sequential Monte Carlo and operator splitting
Session EO287 Room: 209
Survival analysis methodologies Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Takeshi Emura Organizer: Takeshi Emura
  E2040:  A. Lopez-Cheda, M.A. Jacome Pumar, A. Dorado
  Covariate hypothesis tests for the cure rate in mixture cure models
  E1594:  D. Li
  Proportional hazards regression for interval-censored outcomes with an interval-censored covariate
  E1588:  R. Wilke, M.S.S. Lo, T. Emura
  On the implications of proportional hazards assumptions for competing risks modelling
Session EC293 Room: B104
Structural breaks Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Kaiji Motegi Organizer: EcoSta
  E1893:  E. Kurozumi, A. Skrobotov
  Confidence sets for the emergence, collapse, and recovery dates of a bubble
  E1362:  E. Shimada
  Weighted inference from long historical samples under structural change
  E1282:  U. Ulrych, T. Venturino, P. Cheridito
  Detecting structural breaks in financial time series
Session EC245 Room: 104
High-dimensional methods Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Myungjin Kim Organizer: EcoSta
  E1230:  E. Zhang
  Correlation comparison after nonlinear transformations
  E1873:  Y. Lu, T. Zhang, Y. Wang, M. Ran
  Group-sparse smoothing for longitudinal models with time-varying coefficients
  E2027:  D. Ferrari, G.D. Costanzo, A. Faranda Gancio
  A latent divergence index for high-dimensional streaming markets: Cross-country dynamics in music consumption
Session EC268 Room: 106
Probabilistic methods and stochastic processes Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Ansgar Steland Organizer: EcoSta
  E1361:  F. Dong
  Generalization of CNNs under $\mathcal{C}$-mixing dependence
  E1858:  S. Kusano, M. Uchida
  SEM for jump-diffusion processes based on high-frequency data
  E1877:  C. Vardar Acar
  Joint distributions of maximum drawdown and maximum drawup for spectrally negative Levy processes
Session EC258 Room: 107
Causal inference Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Zudi Lu Organizer: EcoSta
  E1933:  J. Zhang
  Dynamic causal modelling and spectral analysis
  E1331:  Y. Park
  A design-based approach to testing and inference in quasi-experiments with spillovers
  E1167:  Y. Muramatsu, T. Sato, S. Tanaka
  Comparing performance of three propensity score weighting methods for continuous exposures in nutritional epidemiology
Session EC255 Room: 201
Short talks in statistical modelling and compuing Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Man Ho Ling Organizer: EcoSta
  E2005:  S. Venturini, M. Bonetti
  Exact distribution of some functions of the ordered multinomial counts: Computational aspects and applications
  E1909:  G. Betti, F. Crescenzi
  A functional data analysis approach for income distribution and poverty analysis
  E2091:  C.-T. Yu, T.-C. Cheng
  On the relative importance of explanatory variables for the multivariate regression model
  E2092:  K. Sankaran
  Interactive tools for reliable omics visualization
Session EC295 Room: 204
Extreme values Sunday 09.8.2026   13:35 - 14:50
Chair: Jingru Mu Organizer: EcoSta
  E1411:  S. Yun
  Multiple testing for spatial extremes with application to reanalysis data evaluation
  E2060:  C. Cordeiro, M.M. Neves, D. Prata Gomes, P. Montero Manso
  Mastering extremes in time series
  E1925:  K. Sora, N. Myung Hwan, Y. Sanghoo
  Conditional EVT-GAN for extreme precipitation risk mapping
Parallel session J: EcoSta2026 Sunday 09.8.2026 16:15 - 17:55

Session EI002 Room: 202
Advanced Methods for Financial and Complex Data Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Cathy W-S Chen Organizer: Cathy W-S Chen
  E1152:  R. Gerlach, C. Liu, M.-N. Tran, C. Wang, R. Kohn
  Financial risk forecasting in the data centric era
  E1153:  Y. Omori, D. Hiraki, S. Chib
  Dynamic factor stochastic volatility-in-mean VAR for large macroeconomic panels
  E1154:  M. So, T. Chan, A. Chu
  Integration of textual and quantitative responses in multidimensional item response theory
Session EO152 Room: B101
Policy learning and statistical decision Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Chen Qiu Organizer: Chen Qiu
  E1519:  G. Wang
  Robust network targeting with multiple Nash equilibria
  E1787:  D. Kido
  Multi-objective policy learning
  E1813:  Y. Fang
  Policy learning with unstructured data
  E1788:  C. Qiu, J.L. Montiel Olea, J. Stoye
  Asymptotics for treatment decisions with partial identification
Session EO158 Room: B102
Macroeconomic policies and asset markets Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Etsuro Shioji Organizer: Etsuro Shioji
  E1569:  S. Hayaki
  Consumption rigidity, household heterogeneity, and nonmonotonic risk compensation
  E1565:  H. Morita
  Historical debt dynamics in the US and UK: A TVP-VARX analysis from the 1800s to the 2020s
  E1495:  Q. Li
  The role of the average maturity in the transmission of quantitative easing: Evidence from the Bank of Japan
  E1486:  E. Shioji
  Is the market for the Japanese Government Bonds still insulated from external forces?
Session EO212 Room: Virtual R01
Different aspects of robust statistics Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Giovanni Saraceno Organizer: Giovanni Saraceno
  E1661:  S. Rizzelli, D. Carl, S. Padoan
  Accurate Bayesian inference for tail risk extrapolation in time series
  E1742:  G. Bertagnolli, C. Agostinelli, A. Basu, A. Kuchibhotla
  Weighted likelihood robust inference using statistical data depths
  E1410:  G. Francisci
  Asymptotic properties of multivariate depth quantiles
Session EO226 Room: 101
Recent developments in time series modelling (virtual) Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Yayi Yan Organizer: Yayi Yan
  E1953:  F. Liu, J. Gao, B. Peng, Y. Yan, F. Liu
  Panel data estimation and inference: Homogeneity versus heterogeneity
  E1993:  T. Cheng, J. Gao, Y. Yan, X. Yang
  Extracting predictability: A time-varying factor-augmented approach under mixed persistence
  E2039:  Y. Yan, D. Li, Q. Yao
  Factor models of matrix-valued time series: Nonstationarity and cointegration
  E2046:  B. Wu
  Model averaging of multi-layer time-varying network vector autoregressions
Session EO066 Room: 102
Novel methods for complex data Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Hernando Ombao Organizer: Hernando Ombao
  E1323:  P. Bertail, A. Dudek, K. Marek-Lukasiewicz
  Splitting high dimensional Markov chains with application to bootstrap
  E1822:  M. Kita, Y. Yoshida, Y. Liu
  Testing for sphericity of autocovariance matrix in high-dimensional time series
  E2011:  P.V. Redondo, R. Huser, H. Ombao, M. de Carvalho
  Extremal vulnerability
  E2042:  A. El Yaagoubi Bourakna
  A fractal-dimension framework for quantifying self-similarity in chromatin folding
Session EO090 Room: 103
New developments in time series and spatial learning Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Zudi Lu Organizer: Zudi Lu
  E1455:  S. Zhang, Z. Lu, C. Zheng
  A simple and effective random forest modelling for nonlinear time series data
  E1493:  J. Wang
  Semiparametric ultra-high dimensional model averaging of expected shortfall for nonlinear dynamic time series
  E1611:  J. Bai, Z. Lu, C. Zheng, I. Galea, A. Varatharaj
  A 3D semiparametric spatial autoregressive model for multisubject data
  E1677:  L. Wang, Z. Lu
  Adaptive group fused lasso for panel threshold model
Session EO040 Room: 104
Recent advances in panel data models Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Alexandra Soberon Organizer: Alexandra Soberon
  E1381:  T. Wang, F. Yao, A. Nowak
  Understanding real estate matches through a semiparametric panel model of the matching function
  E1392:  J.M. Rodriguez-Poo, D. Henderson, A. Soberon, S. Sperlich
  Gravity models with smooth time-varying coefficients and fixed effects
  E1468:  S. Wei, T. Rosa
  Estimating choice models with piecewise smooth objective functions: Application to joint retirement
  E1662:  L.A. Arteaga Molina
  Empirical Likelihood based inference for varying coefficient panel data models with cross-sectional dependence
Session EO176 Room: 105
Statistics for spatial and temporal data Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Fabian Mies Organizer: Fabian Mies
  E1573:  A. Imm, F. Mies, A. Steland
  Detecting change-points of univariate time series using the Wasserstein distance
  E1652:  N. Palm, T. Nagler
  Uniform central limit theorems for non-stationary processes via relative weak convergence
  E1769:  R. Altmeyer
  Parameter estimation for Matern random fields from local measurements
  E2016:  A. van Delft, H. Dette
  Balancing the edge effect and dimension of spectral spatial statistics
Session EO084 Room: 107
New frontiers in causal and structural inference Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Sotetsu Koyamada Organizer: Sotetsu Koyamada
  E1735:  Y. Iwanaga, T. Kobayashi
  Latent population size estimation in directed networks via microfounded random graph models
  E1636:  H. Morioka
  Extracting causal variables through causal representation learning
  E1408:  M. Guan, K. Fujita, N. Sueishi, S. Yasui
  Denoised IPW-lasso for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in randomized experiments
  E1757:  P. Wu
  Beyond ICA: Group theoretic identifiability via mechanism-domain contrast
Session EO243 Room: 201
Advances in directional statistics Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc Organizer: Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc
  E1194:  C.J. Im, J.M. Jeon
  Local Frechet regression with Riemannian manifold predictors
  E1590:  N. Conanec
  Spherical deconvolution for an atomic distribution
  E1708:  G. Bernard
  Optimal geodesic regression for directional response
Session EO076 Room: 203
Measuring different dimensions of poverty: Methods and applications Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Stefano Marchetti Organizer: Stefano Marchetti
  E1580:  I. Benedetti, T. Laureti, L. Secondi
  Measuring food poverty across regions and vulnerable groups: Subnational evidence from Italy during high inflation
  E1607:  S. Marchetti
  Food poverty and transportation poverty at local level in Italy
  E1816:  L. Secondi, T. Laureti, F.M. Morosini, P. Duttilo
  Transport poverty and energy cost burden across municipal types: A sub-national analysis for Italy
  E1823:  C. Giusti, M. Pratesi, A. D Agostino, T. Budini
  Measuring digital poverty among young people: An application at regional level in Italy
Session EO136 Room: 204
Estimation and inference of extreme values Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Gilles Stupfler Organizer: Gilles Stupfler
  E1854:  G. Stupfler, A. Daouia, A. Usseglio-Carleve
  Corrected inference about the extreme expected shortfall in the general max-domain of attraction
  E1785:  S. Denis
  Extreme conditional tail moment inference
  E1247:  A. Daouia, Y. Abbas, G. Stupfler
  A general theory for extremal regression in heavy-tailed models
  E1700:  L. Merlo, V. Bignozzi, L. Petrella, N. Salvati
  Multivariate robust extremiles
Session EO193 Room: 205
Recent advances in multivariate statistical methods Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Kwangmin Lee Organizer: Kwangmin Lee
  E1824:  K. Kim, S. Jung, J. Schulz
  Disentangling location and concentration effects in von Mises-Fisher regression
  E1841:  A. Yara, Y. Terada
  Nonparametric intensity estimation in covariate-driven Poisson processes using deep learning
  E1856:  S. Mano
  Direct sampling from conditional distributions of discrete exponential families
  E2031:  Y. Chung, J. Lim, X. Wang, S. Ahn
  Conformalized outlier detection for mass spectrometry data
Session EO228 Room: 208
Statistical applications in clinical medicine Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Ruoyu Miao Organizer: Ruoyu Miao
  E1229:  Q. Selimi, C. Charalambous, T. Baghfalaki
  Joint modelling of longitudinal creatinine trajectories and kidney disease risk in children with autoimmune disorders
  E1284:  C. Li, H. Wood, A. Gusnanto, R. Bezbaruah
  Improving microbiome modelling and prediction by using an optimised and class-weighted classifier in imbalanced datasets
  E1591:  J. Fendler, P. Kirk
  Consensus Monte Carlo for mixtures of categorical distributions
  E1235:  X. Wu, K. Mardia, J. Kent, B. Khambay, C. Goodall
  Asymmetry analysis of bilateral shapes
Session EO288 Room: 209
Recent advances in survival analysis and deep learning Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Il Do Ha Organizer: Il Do Ha
  E1583:  Y.-J. Kim
  Survival tree for current status data with dependent censoring
  E1624:  V.T. Anh, T. Emura, I.D. Ha
  DeepMsurv: M-spline based DNN framework for time-to-event data
  E1691:  H. Lee, I.D. Ha, C. Hwang, Y. Lee
  Poisson-gamma neural network for clustered count data
  E1541:  R. Weissbach, F. Sieg
  Left-truncation of the exponential distribution
Session EC265 Room: B103
Forecasting Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Kaiji Motegi Organizer: EcoSta
  E1197:  A. Csapai
  Constrained machine learning and stacking for real-time survey forecast combination
  E1845:  Z. Ma, J. Jiang, A. Lopez Oriona, H. Ombao, Y. Sun
  Adaptive multi-scale forecasting and gate-localized conformal prediction for multivariate nonstationary time series
  E1986:  E. Mise, A. Garratt
  Evaluating forecast performance at the Bank of England
  E2004:  H. Yu, H. Nishino
  Bayesian SARIMA modelling with a spatial error structure for electricity demand in Japan
Session EC262 Room: B104
Financial econometrics Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Jackson Lautier Organizer: EcoSta
  E1161:  D. Pandini
  Stationary but not profitable: A critical look at pairs trading
  E1880:  T. Tichy, D. Nedela, M. Holcapek
  Quantile regression and fuzzy-probabilistic inference in financial decision-making
  E1270:  H. Yang, Y. Li
  On the recovery of meaningful structure from financial transfer entropy networks
  E1356:  R. Fuentes-Martinez, I. Crimaldi
  Granger causality in expectiles: An M-vine copula test
Session EC306 Room: 106
Short talks in statistical methods and applications Sunday 09.8.2026   16:15 - 17:55
Chair: Jisang Yu Organizer: EcoSta
  E1901:  T. Naito
  Children's health shocks and maternal job separation: Evidence from Japan
  E2085:  L. Kontoghiorghes, A. Colubi, G. Kapetanios
  A simulation study of tvwLDA parameter estimators
  E2090:  J. Grana Colubi, G. Gonzalez-Rodriguez, A.B. Ramos-Guajardo
  Application of a regression model for random star-shaped sets:
  E2034:  P. Graczyk, B. Kolodziejek, H. Nakashima, M. Wilczynski
  On an essential extension of the G-LASSO
  E1595:  Y. Suo, T. Wang, S. Kumbhakar
  Stochastic Frontier Panel Model with Endogeneity in Inputs and Environmental Variables
Parallel session K: EcoSta2026 Monday 10.8.2026 08:15 - 09:55

Session EI007 Room: 202
Data science in tech Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Lihua Lei Organizer: Lihua Lei
  E1942:  M. Park
  Data science in tech: Driving product impact from telemetry to the AI era
  E2066:  H. He
  Marketplace optimization for doordash ads
  E2067:  M. Dimakopoulou
  Causal adaptive learning for decision making at scale
Session EO230 Room: B101
Advances in econometrics (virtual) Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Jose Luis Montiel Olea Organizer: Jose Luis Montiel Olea
  E1520:  D. Viviano, E. Breza, A. Chandrasekhar
  Evidence aggregation with ignorance in mind: Learning what is not known for archetypes discovery
  E1779:  J.L. Montiel Olea
  Decision theory for the archetype discovery problem
  E1792:  J. Vives-i-Bastida, S. Wager, R. Johari
  Estimating treatment effects in finite horizon experiments with rolling enrollment
  E1810:  A. Velez
  On the asymptotic properties of debiased machine learning estimators
Session EO055 Room: B102
Statistics and econometrics in sports and consumer finance Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Jackson Lautier Organizer: Jackson Lautier
  E1398:  H.S.P. Kalugama Gardige, J. Lautier, H. Jeong
  Injury risk management in the National Basketball Association: An actuarial approach
  E1608:  M. Whalen, B. Mills, G. Matthews
  Beyond univariate analysis: Detecting mean and variance shifts across North American sports leagues and baseball history
  E1397:  J. Lautier, J. Yan, V. Pozdnyakov
  Discrete time-to-event regression analysis under left-truncation with applications to consumer finance
  E1521:  L. da Cunha Godoy, J. Lautier
  abslife: Estimating discrete left-truncated lifetime random variables with applications to asset-backed securities
Session EO200 Room: B103
Recent advances in random matrix theory and high-dimensional inference Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Xiaocong Xu Organizer: Jingming Wang
  E1438:  W. Yuan
  On spectrum of sample correlated matrices from large fold tensor vectors
  E1458:  X. Xu
  Algorithmicinference in proportional high dimensions
  E1556:  X. Zhang, Z. Pu
  The asymptotic properties of the extreme eigenvectors of high-dimensional spiked models
  E2082:  Z. Wang
  Mesoscopic dynamics in complex networks: A random matrix perspective
Session EO166 Room: B104
Causal inference and structural learning in complex settings Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Shuoyang Wang Organizer: Shuoyang Wang, Tianhai Zu
  E1170:  S. Wang
  Inference for quantile mediation effects in the presence of complex confounding
  E1205:  D. Ham, B. Price
  Joint low-rank and individual sparse modeling for multi-response matrix-variate trace regression
  E1228:  T. Zu
  Structural learning and causal interference in multiplex networks: A two-stage framework for financial distress
  E1784:  W. Fu
  Impact of drug-free communities program on youth development
Session EO087 Room: Virtual R01
Recent developments in biostatistical methods and applications Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Yisheng Li Organizer: Yisheng Li
  E1866:  X. Huang
  TxMicroSim: A web-based app for multi-stage treatment decision making
  E1904:  M. Liang
  A general framework for incorporating identification uncertainty in individualized treatment rules
  E1921:  Y. Li, C. Kim, T. Xu, Z. Liao
  Bayesian nonparametric model for heterogeneous treatment effects with zero-inflated data
  E1973:  Z. Li
  All-in-one toolkit for biobank-scale whole-genome sequencing data management and analysis
Session EO204 Room: 101
Advancements in change-point detection for multivariate and object data Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Lynna Chu Organizer: Lynna Chu
  E1839:  X. Zhang, R. Wang
  Distribution-free change-point detection in high dimensions: A generalized homogeneity approach
  E2026:  Z. Zhu, A. Moore, L. Chu
  Online change-point detection using foundation probabilistic forecasting models
  E2048:  G. Fellouris
  Sequential change detection with active sampling
  E2050:  C. Zhu
  Change-point detection for object-valued time series
Session EO127 Room: 102
Recent advances in functional data analysis Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Tianyu Guan Organizer: Tianyu Guan
  E1640:  H. Shi
  Functional data analysis in neuroimaging data based on semiparametric transformation models
  E1665:  S. Wu
  Nonlinear function-on-scalar regression using continuous neural networks
  E1694:  B. Hu
  Outcome-guided clustering of high-dimensional omics for aging subtypes
  E1767:  C. Beaulac
  Multivariate planar curves: Definition, alignment and statistical analysis
Session EO179 Room: 103
Recent advances in statistical machine learning Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Eric Chi Organizer: Cesar Augusto Uribe Meneses, Eric Chi
  E1465:  H. Luo
  Bayesian partition-based image analysis
  E1469:  C.A. Uribe Meneses, D.T. Nguyen
  Frechet regression on the Bures-Wasserstein manifold
  E1516:  J. Chi, E. Chi
  Robust hybrid infinite and finite dimensional tensor factorizations
  E1517:  E. Chi
  A Monte Carlo approach for nonsmooth convex optimization via proximal splitting algorithms
Session EO043 Room: 104
Advances in the analysis of functional data and non-Euclidean data Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Shuo-Chieh Huang Organizer: Yaqing Chen
  E1898:  D. Senturk, Y. Bai, D. Nguyen, D. Telesca, E. Kurum, A. Dickinson, S. Jeste
  Contrastive latent functional model
  E1946:  X. Zhang, G. Lin, R. Miao, J. Sacheck
  Precision physical activity prescription via reinforcement learning for functional actions
  E1989:  S.-C. Huang, R. Chen, Y. Chen
  A Riemannian factor model for manifold-valued time series
  E2010:  W. Song, H.-G. Mueller
  Inference for dispersion and curvature of random objects
Session EO237 Room: 105
Structured models and prediction: Spatial dependence and measurement error Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Juan Du Organizer: Juan Du
  E1257:  X. Wang
  Scanner: Simultaneously temporal trend and spatial cluster detection for spatial-temporal data
  E1289:  X. Bai
  Robust mixture of linear mixed modeling via multivariate Laplace distribution
  E1644:  W. Jia, W. He
  Bayesian modeling of long-term blue jay spring counts in Illinois: A county-level spatiotemporal analysis
  E1744:  R. Bharaniah, J. Du
  Prediction error assessment with contaminated spatial data
Session EO015 Room: 106
Modern statistical methods for complex data structures Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Yuan Zhang Organizer: Yuan Zhang
  E1589:  Y. Zhang
  Priority-aware Shapley value
  E1598:  W. Zhou, T. Li
  Multivariate inference of network moments by subsampling
  E1800:  J. Ma
  A snapshot of influence: A local data attribution framework for online reinforcement learning
  E1799:  W. Tang
  Representation learning with blockwise missingness and signal heterogeneity
Session EO104 Room: 107
Addressing challenges for causal inference in observational studies Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Christopher Harshaw Organizer: Caleb Miles
  E1312:  L. Keele
  Nonparametric estimation of local treatment effects with continuous instruments
  E1518:  J. Zubizarreta, Y. Jin
  Cross-balancing for data-informed design and efficient analysis of observational studies
  E1809:  R. Mukherjee
  Inference in high-dimensional linear mediation models under proportional asymptotics
  E2073:  C. Miles
  Where best to intervene
Session EO121 Room: 201
Advances in complex data analysis for biomedical and economic applications Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Yunpeng Zhao Organizer: Yunpeng Zhao
  E1306:  P. Bagchi
  Adaptive frequency band learning of nonstationary functional time series: An application to high-dimensional EEG signals
  E1355:  J. Park
  CalCS: Calibrated cost-sensitive classification under strict error constraints
  E1696:  Y. Zhao, X. Li, N. Hao, Q. Pan, M. Zhang
  Covariance-based clustering and biclustering via the heterogeneous block covariance model and variants
  E1710:  J. Nishimura, G. Artiglio
  The population lotto game: How strategic resource allocation structures non-transitive outcomes in pairwise competitions
Session EO208 Room: 203
Advances in experimental design (virtual) Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: John Stufken Organizer: John Stufken
  E1609:  N. Rios
  A two-phase A/B test for binary outcomes on network data
  E1604:  L. Kang
  Robust joint modeling for data with continuous and binary responses
  E1834:  W. Zheng, Z. Zhou, R. Mee, Y. Zhou
  Efficient Bayesian estimation and inference for Shapley value via experimental design
  E1964:  J. Zheng, N. Rios
  Exact designs for order-of-addition experiments under a transition-effect model
Session EO112 Room: 204
Statistical modeling for environmental and public health surveillance Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Kangyi Peng Organizer: Kangyi Peng
  E1621:  C. Feng, G. Lyu
  Copula-based joint modeling of emergency department visits with time-varying dependence
  E1702:  W. Braun, K. Nah
  Monte Carlo integration of differential equation systems with epidemiological applications
  E1782:  J. de Haan-Ward, C. Wong, E. Renouf, S. Wan, X. Tian, R. Delatolla, E. Mercier
  Application of hidden Markov models to interpret the wastewater viral signal of rarely detected viruses
  E1808:  D. Becker
  Structural time seriesfor hybrid clustering/classification of mutations in wastewater to detect new disease variants
Session EO184 Room: 205
Inference using resampling methods in modern statistics and machine learning Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Hyemin Yeon Organizer: Hyemin Yeon
  E1425:  S. Cho, S. Ahn, J. Lim
  Empirical likelihood for unbalanced ranked set sampling
  E1592:  S. Chakrabarty, L. Levina
  Bootstrapping network statistics using overlapping partitions
  E1721:  A. Giessing
  Gaussian and bootstrap approximation of suprema of empirical processes
  E1301:  Y. Koike
  High-dimensional bootstrap and asymptotic expansion
Session EO137 Room: 208
Survival and recurrent event modeling in biomedical research Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga Organizer: Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga
  E1360:  I. Sousa-Ferreira, A.M. Abreu, C. Rocha
  Additive shared mixed frailty model for bivariate gap time data
  E1388:  K. Suresh, J. Rice
  Bounded hazard ratio Cox model for the effect of time to treatment on mortality
  E1390:  J. Shi, G. Silva, B. Wagner, E. Juarez-Colunga
  A joint model for longitudinal change point analysis and recurrent events with application to cystic fibrosis outcomes
  E1878:  B. McNair, E. Juarez-Colunga
  Characterizing the survivor and hazard functions with quantile-parameterized Meta-B distributions
Session EO170 Room: 209
Statistical methods for imperfect data (virtual) Monday 10.8.2026   08:15 - 09:55
Chair: Farouk Nathoo Organizer: Juxin Liu
  E1201:  F. Nathoo, P. Velidi, M. Griffin, T. Garcia, R. Matsouaka, S. Ghosh, J. Liu, J. Qian
  A Bayesian semiparametric model for survival analysis with a right censored covariate
  E1336:  S. Lotspeich, C. Hung
  Attenuated, exaggerated, or flipped: On the ramifications of measurement error in concentration indices
  E1546:  B. Richardson, S.-H. Lee, T. Garcia, K. Marder, Y. Ma
  SPARCC: Semi-parametric robust estimation in a right-censored covariate model
Parallel session L: EcoSta2026 Monday 10.8.2026 10:25 - 12:05

Session EI006 Room: 202
Timeless topics in statistics: New formulations and results Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Marianthi Markatou Organizer: Marianthi Markatou
  E1831:  J. Stufken
  Subdata selection or sampling methods
  E1928:  A. Vexler
  Ancillarity-guided goodness-of-fit testing under symmetry: A normality-testing illustration
  E1929:  M. Markatou
  A framework for multivariate goodness-of-fit testing based on matrix distances
Session EO235 Room: B101
Recent advances in networks and interference I Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Liang Zhong Organizer: Liang Zhong
  E1180:  H. Wu
  Unobserved heterogeneous spillover effects in instrumental variable models
  E1434:  L. Zhong, J. Liu, A. Shaikh
  Randomization tests in two-stage experiments
  E1623:  J. Liu, S. Lu, P. Ding
  Randomization tests in bipartite experiments
  E1849:  G. Xu
  Networks as proxy controls: Nonparametric identification and estimation of partial effects
Session EO173 Room: B103
Recent advances in econometric methodology Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Jiatong Li Organizer: Jiatong Li
  E1226:  R. Wu
  Adaptive multi-task learning for multi-sector portfolio optimization
  E1563:  W. Xiao
  One-step estimation for general Gaussian processes
  E1547:  J. Wei
  Factor-adjusted knockoff inference for high-dimensional time series
  E1593:  B. Peng, X. Ding, Q. Zhou
  Transformed estimation for panel VAR models with interactive fixed effects
Session EO051 Room: 101
Advances in change-point detection and nonparametric inference Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla Organizer: Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla
  E1457:  D. Yarger, D. Tucker
  Detecting changepoints in globally-indexed functional time series
  E1605:  A. Safikhani
  High-dimensional change point detection with missing values
  E1724:  L. Chu, S. Kim
  Graph-based change-point detection for regression changes under covariate shift
  E1748:  S. Kumar, H. Xu, D. Wang
  Estimation and inference for change points in functional regression time series
Session EO222 Room: 102
Data science, statistics, and AI for digital finance Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Jeffrey Chu Organizer: Stephen Chan, Jeffrey Chu
  E1707:  L. Jamil
  Understanding the evolution of Kyles lambda on digital blockchain assets
  E1974:  J. Chu
  Extreme value-informed multi-modal transfer learning for blockchain fraud detection
  E2055:  Y. Zhang, S. Chan
  Does governance credibility matter: Evidence from binding and non-binding fan token polls
  E2062:  C. Yang
  Multi-modal enhanced graph transfer learning for digital finance fraud detection
Session EO165 Room: 103
Modern methods for modeling and learning from complex data (virtual) Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Pei Wang Organizer: Pei Wang
  E1191:  M. Li, Q. Lu, R. Lund, X. Shi
  Genetic algorithms in regression
  E1231:  S. Xia
  Penalized linked component analysis for spatial-temporal burst detection in water distribution systems
  E1440:  H. Moradi Rekabdararkolaee
  Bovine pinkeye detection and prediction
  E1443:  P. Wang
  Finite Markov chains with absorbing states and misspecified random effects with an application to cognitive data
Session EO217 Room: 104
Statistical inference for complex and dependent data Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Wenbo Wu Organizer: Alexander Petersen
  E1322:  J. Xu, H.L. Shang
  Spherically embedded time series with unknown trend and periodic components
  E1634:  Q. Fang, X. Qiao, Z. Wang
  Time series Gaussian chain graph models
  E1747:  S.-C. Lin
  F-type tests for functional linear models
  E1829:  Z. Lin, X. Hu
  Neural Wasserstein two-sample tests
Session EO041 Room: 105
Recent advances in neuroimaging data analysis Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Panpan Zhang Organizer: Yi Zhao
  E1387:  Q. Wu, J. Zhou, S. Chen
  A multivariate harmonization framework for multi-site neuroimaging studies
  E1781:  X. Ma, S. Lee
  Improving the measurement of test-retest reliability for high-dimensional connectome and neuroimaging biomarkers
  E1786:  K. Kang
  Characterizing longitudinal sMRI biomarker trajectories in Alzheimer's disease using the DSMM
  E1801:  P. Zhang
  SIGNET: A signed network spectral clustering method for proteomic module discovery in Alzheimer's disease
Session EO207 Room: 106
New developments in stochastic modeling Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Takashi Owada Organizer: Takashi Owada
  E1342:  H. Liu
  Optimal portfolio choice with ESG considerations and asymmetric information
  E1582:  T. Owada, C. Hirsch, R. Tong
  Stable and Frechet limit theorem for subgraph functionals in the hyperbolic random geometric graph
  E1676:  Z. Wei
  Pooled likelihood inference for secondary phenotype models in multiple case-control studies
  E1716:  T. Kang, S. Dhara
  Connectivity transitions in large-scale simplicial complexes via local limits
Session EO146 Room: 107
Causal inference: Confounding, selection bias, and covariate adjustment Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Fan Li Organizer: Fan Li
  E1423:  Z. Cao, S. Zuo, M.R. Baumann, K. Plourde, P. Heagerty, G. Tong, F. Li
  Covariate-adjusted win statistics in randomized clinical trials with ordinal outcomes
  E1504:  S. Orihara, S. Komukai
  Average treatment effect estimation under poor overlap via weighted estimands
  E1620:  H. Lu, Y. Zhang
  On the graphical rules for recovering the average treatment effect under selection bias
Session EO203 Room: 201
Emerging topics in data science foundations Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Li-Pang Chen Organizer: Li-Pang Chen
  E1254:  R.H.-F. Hua
  Rating of players by Laplace approximation and dynamic modeling
  E1256:  K.-H. Wu
  Semiparametric efficient estimation of causal effects defined by statistical functionals
  E1395:  C.-K. Lin, T.-M. Huang
  A knot selection algorithm for regression spline
  E1509:  C. Wang, S. Li
  Shift-invariant attribute scoring for Kolmogorov-Arnold networks via Shapley value
Session EO081 Room: 203
Theories and methodologies for high-dimensional and complex data analysis Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Kento Egashira Organizer: Kento Egashira
  E1629:  Y. Takao, K. Egashira
  Notations for dendrograms and asymptotic properties of single-linkage clustering in high-dimensional settings
  E1618:  K. Egashira, Y. Takao
  Asymptotic behaviors of kernel hierarchical clustering under high-dimensional settings
  E1670:  C.J.L. Louart
  Asymptotics of empirical risk minimization in High dimension
  E1627:  B.C. Boniece, L. Horvath, L. Trapani
  Sequential monitoring for distributional changepoints in time series
Session EO195 Room: 204
Statistical inference under complex dependence and nonregularity Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Karl Oskar Ekvall Organizer: Karl Oskar Ekvall
  E1603:  S. Takeishi, S. Sugasawa
  Scalable estimation of crossed random effects models via multi-way discretization
  E1759:  C. Bertinelli Salucci, A. Kvellestad, R. De Bin
  When parameters are on the boundary: Likelihood ratio tests beyond Wilks' theorem
  E1601:  K.O. Ekvall
  Likelihood ratio tests of boundary points with singular information and unidentifiable nuisance parameters
  E1826:  Z. Lyu, S. Sisson, A. Welsh
  On the inverse of covariance matrices for unbalanced crossed designs
Session EO224 Room: 205
High dimensional inference and multiple testing Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Johan Lim Organizer: Johan Lim
  E1333:  J. Jeong, S. Kim, J. Lim, D. Park
  Double truncation method for controlling local false discovery rate in case of spiky null
  E1545:  S. Katayama
  High-dimensional multiple testing under latent confounding
  E1560:  J. Lim, S. Cho, S. Park
  Testing independence in high-dimensional data based on the absolute cross-covariance sum
  E1686:  J. Park
  FDR control via neural networks under covariate-dependent symmetric nulls
Session EO289 Room: 208
Event and longitudinal models for medical research and forestry Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga Organizer: Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga
  E1352:  J. Haws, K. Colborn, L. Drew, E. Juarez-Colunga, Y. Fei
  Dynamic mediation and latent change modeling of the dual process model of grief in Parkinson's caregiving
  E1795:  L. Drew, A. Kaplan
  ldmppr: Location dependent marked point processes in R
  E1825:  J. Rice
  Exact Poisson two-stage designs for landmark survival endpoints
  E1714:  P. Langner, E. Juarez-Colunga
  Estimation of treatment effects with data coarsened over informative observation intervals
Session EO049 Room: 209
Statistical methods for biomedicine and health research Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Masao Ueki Organizer: Masao Ueki
  E1473:  H. Seto, M. Yamamoto, H. Komai, K. Hayashi
  Comparing calibration fairness across ensemble learning methods: Bagging, boosting, and stacking
  E1475:  N. Das, M. Ueki
  Effects of population stratification on gene-gene interaction detection
  E1522:  E. Kawaguchi
  A suite of Spearman-like correlation measures for bivariate interval-censored data
  E2017:  M. Ueki
  Use of out-of-cluster prediction to improve model selection in regression with unsupervised clustering
Session EC254 Room: B102
Econometric inference Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Jingru Mu Organizer: EcoSta
  E1325:  J. Ruzicka
  Quantile local projections: Identification, smooth estimation, and inference
  E1990:  W. Wang, L. Dou, P. Min, Y. Zhang
  An improved inference for IV regressions
  E2043:  M.A. Arif
  Bias-corrected method of moments for short-T dynamic panels with latent groups
  E1526:  A. Soberon, A. Musolesi, J.M. Rodriguez-Poo, S. Charlot
  Regional innovation policy evaluation with endogenous regressors and fixed effects
Session EC290 Room: B104
Financial time series Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Toshiaki Watanabe Organizer: EcoSta
  E1272:  M.J.-C. Malela
  A Bayesian GARCH EWMA control chart for monitoring Bitcoin
  E2030:  J. Zhou
  Exogenous-price adaptive routing for financial return forecasting
  E2024:  G. Anderson, A. Audzeyeva
  Exploiting ubiquitous local optima for forecasting emerging market credit spreads
  E1182:  L. Cui, G. Feng, J. Yang
  Heterogeneous predictability on mutual fund alphas:A sparse clustering GMM approach
Session EV304 Room: Virtual R01
Survival and biostatistical modelling Monday 10.8.2026   10:25 - 12:05
Chair: Jiayuan Shi Organizer: EcoSta
  E2057:  S. Schneider
  A copula-based defective Gompertz cure rate model for dependent censoring
  E1551:  Y. Li
  Survival analysis with time-varying covariate: A R shiny tool for visualization
  E2069:  D. Nguyen
  Statistical modeling challenges in large-scale population database: United States renal data system modeling
Parallel session N: EcoSta2026 Monday 10.8.2026 14:35 - 16:15

Session EO231 Room: B101
Advances in econometric theory and methods Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Junfan Tao Organizer: Junfan Tao
  E1631:  J. Tao, J. Gu, P. Tuvaandorj, S. Volgushev
  Score test for order of finite normal mixtures
  E1853:  R. Liu
  Semiparametric estimation and inference for single-index models with high-dimensional covariates
  E1863:  Z. Yu, J. Ma, Y. Sasaki
  Generic covariate adjustment for regression discontinuity designs
  E1883:  H. Ota
  Poisson geometry of selective inference in proportional dimensions
Session EO080 Room: B102
Recent advances in econometrics and statistics Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Seok Young Hong Organizer: Seok Young Hong
  E1961:  K. Moriya, A. Noda
  Finite-sample properties of model specification tests for multivariate dynamic regression models
  E1978:  S.Y. Hong
  Unified inference for predictive mean and quantile regressions via empirical likelihood
  E2029:  J. Huh, H. Ko
  Recovering no-trade regions: Pontryagin-guided policy projection for transaction-cost control
  E2081:  R. Sakemoto
  Business cycle co-movement and stock market risk premiums over 145 years
Session EO197 Room: B103
Empirical studies on contemporary economic issues Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Shin Kinoshita Organizer: Shin Kinoshita
  E1579:  T. Kurita, P. Boug, H. Hungnes
  State-dependent inflation dynamics in a small open economy: A CVAR approach
  E1581:  H. Mizobuchi
  Measuring Happiness Efficiency during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan
  E1684:  T. Matsuki
  Estimating the probability of Federal Reserve policy rate changes using large language models
  E1452:  S. Kinoshita
  Analysis of energy preference from economic security perspective by a choice experiment
Session EO130 Room: 104
High dimensional statistical learning and low rank structures Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Long Yu Organizer: Long Yu
  E1923:  L. Yu
  High-dimensional factor and clustering analysis via projected and truncated sample covariance matrix
  E1939:  M. Shi, L. Yu
  The sequential estimation of quantile factor models
  E1941:  Y. Wang, L. Yu
  Robust imputation for high-dimensional panel with a latent factor structure
  E1949:  S. Yang
  A sparsity-exploiting inexact interior-point method for quadratically regularized optimal transport
Session EO061 Room: 105
Spatio-temporal modeling and applications Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Daisuke Murakami Organizer: Daisuke Murakami
  E1669:  N. Hiramoto, D. Murakami
  Synthetic control method with block kriging for point-referenced data
  E1638:  S. Segi
  Structural estimation of spatial equilibrium models: A nonlinear extension of spatial autoregressive models
  E1461:  S. Nomura, N. Uchida, Y. Ogata
  Short-term forecast of repeating earthquakes using a spatiotemporal nonstationary renewal process model
  E1533:  D. Murakami, A. Comber, T. Yoshida, N. Tsutsumida, C. Brunsdon, T. Nakaya
  Coarse-to-fine spatial GLMM for scalable prediction and multiscale analysis
Session EO063 Room: 106
Modern theoretical statistics for complex data Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Teppei Ogihara Organizer: Hiroki Masuda
  E1212:  D. Kurisu, Y. Zhou, T. Otsu, H.-G. Mueller
  Regression discontinuity designs for random objects
  E1369:  T. Shiotani, T. Hayashi, Y. Koike
  On lead-lag estimation of non-synchronously observed point processes
  E1462:  T. Ogihara
  Asymptotically uniformly most powerful tests for diffusion processes with nonsynchronous observations
  E1666:  T. Matsuda
  Hidden Markov torus graph modeling for dynamic neural phase interactions
Session EO045 Room: 107
Recent advances in causal inference and survival analysis Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Liangyuan Hu Organizer: Liangyuan Hu
  E1435:  L. Hu
  A fully Bayesian approach to structural nested failure time models for longitudinal causal inference
  E1427:  F. Li
  Principal stratification with U-statistics under principal ignorability
  E1430:  G. Tong
  Weighted double score matching for causal inference in survey observational data
  E1552:  Y. Xiong
  Debiasing differentially private time-to-event data
Session EO225 Room: 201
Recent advances in data science and applications Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Wai Leong Ng Organizer: Wai Leong Ng
  E1755:  C.F.C. Chu, C.C.H. Tong, C.H. Chiu
  Evaluation of parameter efficient fine-tuning and retrieval-augmented generation for early cyberbullying detection
  E1417:  K.L. Chu
  A constrained least-squares ghost sample point method for unstructured high-dimensional data
  E1330:  H.M. Ng, Q. Zhou, K.Y. Wong
  A unified two-step estimation approach for semiparametric models under two-phase sampling
  E1364:  C.C. Siu, S.K. Choy, Y. Zheng
  Consumption and portfolio choice under information frictions and trading costs
  E1346:  X. Tang
  Asymptotic inference for change-points in time series
Session EO177 Room: 202
Mathematical foundations of data science and AI Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Johannes Lederer Organizer: Johannes Lederer
  E1239:  M. Lopes, S. Wang
  Empirical error estimates for graph sparsification
  E1277:  F. Xie
  Revisiting privacy amplification by subsampling in selective release DPSGD
  E1409:  T.M. Pham Ngoc, T. Bonis, V.C. Tran
  Optimal score function estimation via empirical risk minimization
  E2053:  H. Ombao
  Overview of methods for characterizing brain functional connectivity
Session EO094 Room: 203
Recent developments in reliability analysis Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Man Ho Ling Organizer: Man Ho Ling
  E1237:  S. Pal
  Machine learning-based mixture model
  E1802:  H.Y. So, S. Das
  Optimal design of Type-I censoring experiments via Shannon information gain
  E1485:  C.-T. Lin
  Optimal Design and Reliability Sampling Plans for One-Shot Devices under Multiple-Stress Generalized Exponential Models
  E1171:  M.H. Ling
  Optimal design for step-stress accelerated life testing with hybrid group censoring for non-destructive one-shot devices
Session EO151 Room: 204
Variable selection and related topics Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Jia-Han Shih Organizer: Jia-Han Shih
  E1647:  C. Lin, S.B. Chatla, C.-K. Ing
  Adaptive variable selection on high-dimensional non-parametric regression models
  E1675:  K. Furukawa, N. Kumano
  Regularized variable selection with missing data via stacked multiple imputation
  E1215:  Y. Dong, C.-Y. Peng
  Importance inference of optimal test planning for degradation analysis
  E1496:  J.-H. Shih, Y.-H. Chen
  Variable selection based on multivariate regression association
Session EO114 Room: 209
Recent advances in methodology for categorical data and applications Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Tomoyuki Nakagawa Organizer: Tomoyuki Nakagawa
  E1751:  M. Okabe, J. Tsuchida
  Quantile regression for panel brand choice data with individual random effects
  E1663:  J. Tamura, K. Yamamoto, K. Hayashi
  Theoretical foundations and asymptotic confidence intervals for multiclass Matthews correlation coefficients
  E1667:  W. Urasaki
  Power-divergence-based measures approximating latent correlation in contingency tables under bivariate normality
  E1407:  S. Shinoda, K. Yamamoto, S. Tomizawa
  Interpretation of marginal homogeneity based on decomposition and visualization in collapsed ordinal tables
Session EC264 Room: B104
Asset pricing Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Jackson Lautier Organizer: EcoSta
  E1499:  C.H. Tang
  Pricing of long-term care: The case of elderly home
  E1995:  S. Bryzgalova, C. Julliard, J. Huang
  Macro strikes back: Term structure of risk premia
  E1198:  P.-K. Cheng, Y.-T. Chang, P.-C. Tsai
  Partial moment momentum and contrarian strategy in the Taiwan stock market
  E1326:  Y.-M. Lian
  Valuation of carbon emission allowance-linked derivatives under regime switching
Session EC247 Room: 101
Time series analysis Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Ansgar Steland Organizer: EcoSta
  E1290:  J. Pypkowski, A. Sykulski, J. Martin, B. Marchant
  The Whittle likelihood for mixed models in hydrology
  E1868:  A. Celani, L. Pedini, A. Celani
  Reduced rank time variation for vector-valued models
  E1951:  B.X.-Y. Chu, C.W.-S. Chen
  Robust prediction intervals for time series forecasting: A bootstrap and Bayesian approach
  E1378:  C.E. Lee, Z. Li
  Mean independent component analysis for multivariate time series
Session EC246 Room: 102
Hypothesis testing Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Chao Zheng Organizer: EcoSta
  E1291:  D. Leung, N. Tran
  A covariate-adaptive test for replicability across multiple studies with false discovery rate control
  E1981:  S. Chen, T.-M. Huang
  A doubly projected test for conditional independence with high-dimensional dependent data
  E2019:  D. Freidgeim, D. Vukcevic, D. Leung
  Permutation-invariant methods in sequential testing: The case of election auditing
  E1401:  Q. Lan, L. Shu, X. Ren
  An adaptive weighted component test for phase I monitoring in high-dimensional means
Session EC260 Room: 103
Machine learning Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Zudi Lu Organizer: EcoSta
  E1318:  M. Pfeuffer, R.P. Rane, K. Ritter, S. Greven
  Controlling for omitted variable bias in deep neural networks
  E1538:  I. Okhrin, K. Lubashevsky, S. Huber, S. Lissner
  Understanding bicycle route choice through explainable AI
  E1950:  J.-H. Ko, I.D. Ha
  Machine learning estimation of Armington elasticities and their implications for trade policy simulation
  E1350:  H. Ryu, Y. Jung, J. Im, M. Park
  Physical robot-object interaction recognition using wavelet scattering-based features for transformer models
Session EC253 Room: 205
Inference for complex models Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Kento Egashira Organizer: EcoSta
  E1847:  A. Ritz, B. Saefken
  Scoring-based model choice for conditional transformation models
  E1975:  T. von Rosen
  On prediction in linear mixed models under misspecified stochastic linear restrictions
  E1914:  J. Li
  Inference for constrained extremum estimators
  E1380:  J.-J. Hsieh
  Support vector machine analysis under right censored data
Session EC248 Room: 208
Bayesian modelling Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Yasuhiro Omori Organizer: EcoSta
  E1470:  T. Wozniak, F. Shang
  Identification verification for structural VARs with sparse heterogeneous Markov switching heteroskedasticity
  E1817:  Y. Li, I.M. Helgoy
  A Bayesian Lasso based sparse learning model
  E1982:  Y. Kakikawa, Y. Ninomiya
  Information criterion for Bayesian trend filtering in generalized linear models
  E1292:  G. Jona Lasinio, G.M. Sangiovanni, G. Mastrantonio
  Bayesian presence-only data modeling validation
Session EV305 Room: Virtual R01
Applied and distributional methods Monday 10.8.2026   14:35 - 16:15
Chair: Pavel Krupskiy Organizer: EcoSta
  E1924:  G. Epifani, S. Maggio, P.P. Miglietta
  Integration of time series models with multicriteria methods for dynamic competitiveness assessment
  E1200:  H. Abshenasan, P. Lamothe Fernandez, F. Gallardo Olmedo
  Structural asymmetry in transatlantic gas markets: A regime-switching analysis of imported volatility
  E1994:  S. Muehlbauer, E. Weber, P. Ziethmann
  Distributional intersectional fairness in AI-supported job matching
Parallel session O: EcoSta2026 Monday 10.8.2026 16:45 - 18:25

Session EO059 Room: B101
Advances in econometrics Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Yuya Sasaki Organizer: Yuya Sasaki
  E1562:  J. Li, D. Li, H. Yan
  Detection of multiple structural breaks with latent homogeneity for large panel data
  E1382:  J. Cha
  Counterfactual variance analysis with local projections
  E1386:  Y. Ma
  Semiparametric inference in panel data with interactive and high-dimensional confounding
  E1169:  Y. Xin, F. Wu
  Estimating nonseparable selection models: A functional contraction approach
Session EO125 Room: B102
Estimation of socioeconomic indicators with limited data Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Gianni Betti Organizer: Gianni Betti
  E1279:  M. Hirukawa, D. Liu, A. Prokhorov
  Sufficient dimension reduction meets two-sample regression estimation
  E1285:  L. Mori, G. Betti, L. Neri
  Survey-to-survey imputation: From bracketed income to inequality measurement
  E1806:  C. Gigliarano, A. Bianchi, A. D Agostino, L. Neri
  Measuring multidimensional deprivation at the local level through survey-to-survey imputation
  E1367:  F. Crescenzi
  Quantile time dummy product model for estimating cheapflation
Session EO105 Room: B103
Applications of advanced econometrics in production economics Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Jisang Yu Organizer: Jisang Yu
  E1174:  Y. Kim, H. Lee, D. Pendell
  Crop insurance and farm-level productivity: Evidence from Kansas
  E1175:  C.-L. Chang, W. Awoke, J. Yu
  Climate variability and input interactions in coffee productivity: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa
  E1179:  E. Hong, J. Yu
  Estimating impacts of large-scale agricultural intervention: The case of Ethiopian agricultural growth program
  E1278:  H. Sun, D.H. Suh
  Heatwave-induced asymmetry in price transmission across marketing stages
Session EO119 Room: B104
Recent advances in machine learning for economic inference Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Eoghan O Neill Organizer: Andrea Naghi
  E1324:  E. O Neill, J. Cao, M. Grith, A. Tetereva, G. Hu
  Nonlinear autoregressive models for functional time series with bayesian additive regression trees
  E1648:  P.L. Brignoli, A. Naghi, A. Varacca
  Machine learning and difference-in-differences: A practitioners dilemma
  E1864:  J. Peignon, A. Thomas, E. Dumitrescu
  Tail-aware density forecasting of locally explosive time series: A neural network approach
Session EO017 Room: 101
Statistical analysis of complex dynamic data Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Weichi Wu Organizer: Weichi Wu
  E1760:  F. Mies, I. Krylov
  Online TV regression with dependent noise
  E1798:  Z. Zhou
  Optimal tuning parameter selection in heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference
  E1804:  T. Luo
  Simultaneous inference for nonlinear time series, a sieve M-regression approach
  E1838:  W. Wu, L. Bai, Q. Hu
  Inference for structural changes in nonstationary functional time series with partial measurement error
Session EO099 Room: 102
Recent developments in time series and related topics Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Sangyeol Lee Organizer: Sangyeol Lee
  E1444:  D. Kim
  On the theoretical foundations of neural network-based time series: Stationarity, ergodicity, and generalization
  E1502:  M. Jo, S. Lee
  Robust estimation for bounded bivariate time series models of counts based on density power divergence
  E1544:  K.-A. Yang, B. Seo
  Multivariate nonparametric Erlang mixtures
  E1567:  S. Lee
  Robust change point detection in VARX models via recursive CUSUM tests
  E1682:  M. Kim
  The density function of spectral measure of skewed elliptical distributions
Session EO196 Room: 103
Modern statistical methods for learning and decision-making Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Tao Ma Organizer: Qin Fang
  E1195:  T. Matsubara
  Sampling as bandits: Evaluation-efficient design for black-box densities
  E1704:  T. Ma
  Balanced policy switching in reinforcement learning
  E1770:  S. Yao, S. Minsker
  U-processes of growing order and their application in mean estimation
  E1633:  S. Gavioli-Akilagun, M. Azadkia, F. Kalinke, Z. Szabo, S. Mirrezaeiroudaki
  Kernel integrated $R^2$: A measure of dependence
Session EO058 Room: 104
Robust inference in high dimensions (virtual) Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Miles Lopes Organizer: Miles Lopes
  E1415:  Z. Guo
  Perturbed double machine learning: nonstandard inference beyond the parametric length
  E1418:  A. Kock
  High-dimensional Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for robust means
  E1557:  T. Pham
  Detecting non-uniform patterns on high-dimensional hyperspheres
  E1597:  A. Kuchibhotla
  Inference for multivariate and infinite-dimensional parameters: Beyond CLT and beyond independence
Session EO124 Room: 105
Recent advances on statistical analysis for dependent data Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Gan Yuan Organizer: Gan Yuan
  E1739:  S. Sun
  Adaptive Bayesian optimization with consistent smoothness estimation
  E1749:  C.Y. Yau
  Inference for change-points in time series under various break sizes
  E1774:  C. Zheng, G. Yuan, Z. Lu, S. Wu
  Deep neural networks estimation for dependent data
  E1790:  W. Zhang
  Opioid crisis and firm downside tail risks: Evidence from the option market
Session EO065 Room: 106
Statistical analysis for stochastic processes Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Teppei Ogihara Organizer: Teppei Ogihara
  E1413:  Y. Tonaki, Y. Kaino, M. Uchida
  Change detection for the volatility in linear parabolic SPDEs
  E1507:  J. Yoshida
  Estimation error and hypothesis testing for non-identifiable models, with applications to machine learning
  E1511:  S. Eguchi, H. Masuda
  Robustified Gaussian quasi-BIC for volatility
  E1642:  Y. Uehara
  Regularized estimation for locally Cauchy Levy regression
Session EO079 Room: 107
Recent developments in statistical methods for causal inference Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Shuichi Kawano Organizer: Shuichi Kawano
  E1503:  K. Yoshikawa, S. Kawano
  Causal inference with multiple versions of treatment via mixture-of-experts
  E1506:  K. Harada, M. Taguri
  Semiparametric efficiency and flexible estimation of weighted average treatment effects under two-phase sampling
  E1558:  M. Yamamoto
  Estimation of causal effects via conditional instrumental variables in functional linear structural equation models
  E1750:  Y. Ninomiya
  Condisional post-selection inference in propensity score analysis
Session EO149 Room: 202
Recent advances at the interface of Stein’s method and statistics Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Yuta Koike Organizer: Dennis Leung
  E1238:  A. von Seeger, G. Lerman, D. Zou
  Stein discrepancy for unsupervised domain adaptation
  E1456:  C. Miglioli, J. Awan
  Incomplete U-statistics of equireplicate designs: Berry-Esseen bound and efficient construction
  E1481:  J. Bartroff
  Non-asymptotic bounds for group sequential quasi-MLE, misspecified models, and dependence
  E1938:  R. Gaunt
  Convex distance bounds for the stable central limit theorem via Steins method
Session EO148 Room: 204
Modeling and inference for nonstationary time series Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Manon Felix Organizer: Manon Felix
  E1203:  F. Heinrichs
  Self-normalization for CUSUM-based change detection in locally stationary time series
  E1202:  S. Kooiker, J. Schaumburg, M. Zamojski, J. van Brummelen
  Self-driving neural networks for yield curve modeling
  E1400:  W.L. Ng
  Multiple change-point inference for locally stationary time series with applications to financial data
Session EO244 Room: 205
Identification and inference in dynamic and heterogeneous models (virtual) Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Yi Zhang Organizer: Yi Zhang
  E1805:  S. Yang, S. Han, S. Lee
  Semiparametric models for dynamic treatment effects and mediation analyses with observational data
  E1794:  Y. Zhang, A. Chesher, A. Rosen
  The projection solution to the incidental parameter problem
  E1959:  W. Shi, S. Cao
  Parameter estimation under high-dimensional dynamic effects with an application to multilayer network connectedness
  E1891:  Y. Zhang, H. Kaido
  Universal inference for incomplete models
Session EO198 Room: 208
AI-powered analysis of complex dependent data Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Ansgar Steland Organizer: Xuening Zhu
  E1309:  S. Wu, L. Cai, Q. Hu
  Federated learning of quantile inference under local differential privacy
  E1529:  X. Li, X. Li, D. Huang
  Pairwise maximum likelihood for multi-class logistic regression model with multiple rare classes
  E1298:  X. Sun
  Conditional local independence testing for Ito processes with applications to dynamic causal discovery
Session EO064 Room: 209
Survival analysis, copulas, and frailty Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Takeshi Emura Organizer: Takeshi Emura
  E1752:  A. Stroemer, N. Klein, I. Van Keilegom, A. Mayr
  Variable selection in distributional time-to-event models with dependent and administrative censoring
  E1616:  M. Escobar-Bach, S. Helali
  Dependent censoring with simultaneous death times
  E1653:  I.D. Ha, H. Lee, Y. Lee, C. Chee
  On the robustness of maximum h-likelihood estimators under cause-specific competing risks frailty models
  E1585:  T. Emura, D. Dobler
  Inferring median survival under dependent censoring using the copula graphic estimator
Session EC279 Room: 201
Applied statistics Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Daisuke Murakami Organizer: EcoSta
  E1449:  E. Henning, A. Kalbusch, A. Oliveira, T. Oliveira
  Assessing urban water loss patterns: A comparative time series study between Brazil and Portugal
  E2015:  S. Bonnini, L. Corain, A. Peruffo
  Advances in comparative evaluations of bovine females and hermaphrodites: A multivariate longitudinal permutation test
  E1988:  K. Jindrova, P. Tomanova
  Modeling race dynamics in circuit motorsport: A state-space approach for lap time decomposition
  E1514:  M. Costa, A.H. Tavares, J. Cabral
  Comparing regularization strategies for $CO_2$ determinants: Classical, Bayesian and maximum entropy approaches
Session EC269 Room: 203
Complex and heterogeneous data Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Sotetsu Koyamada Organizer: EcoSta
  E1403:  V. Zamanifarizhandi, J. Virta, J. Kujala, O. Rainio
  Metric skewness for object data
  E2006:  T.-H. Ke, H.-C. Huang, H.-Y. Shih, Y.-X. Hsu
  Identifying structural types in techno-capital complex systems
  E2045:  M. Templ
  Imputation under cellwise contamination
  E1968:  J. Sakshaug
  Bayesian integration of survey data sources: Costs and quality
Session EV301 Room: Virtual R01
Spatio-temporal statistics Monday 10.8.2026   16:45 - 18:25
Chair: Alexandra Soberon Organizer: EcoSta
  E1870:  A. Congedi, S. De Iaco
  An innovative hybrid approach for forecasting spatio-temporal variables
  E2054:  N. Iqbal, M. Palma
  Two-stage deep learning framework for spatiotemporal interpolation and probabilistic forecasting of air temperature
  E1872:  R. Distratis, S. De Iaco, A. Jalilian, I. Masoumi
  Assessing a spatio-temporal biodiversity score through multi criteria analysis of blind source separation components
  E1871:  L. Simmini, S. De Iaco, R. Distratis, C. Cappello
  A spatial non-compensatory composite indicator for socio-economic disparities